The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (4‑3) vs Dolphins (1‑5) |
36 | Patriots Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 49% | ||
| Ravens (4‑3) vs Bills (5‑1) |
9 | Ravens Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Bills Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Titans (1‑6) vs Bengals (4‑2) |
5 | Titans Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Colts (2‑5) vs Jaguars (4‑2) |
2 | Colts Wins | 5% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Rams (3‑4) vs Chargers (0‑6) |
1 | Rams Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Steelers (5‑2) vs Browns (5‑2) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Browns Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 41% | ||
| Jets (2‑5) vs Raiders (3‑4) |
1 | Jets Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Broncos (5‑2) vs Chiefs (5‑1) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 40% | ||