The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (2‑7) vs Bears (4‑4) |
1 | Patriots Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Bears Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Steelers (6‑2) vs Commanders (7‑2) |
0 | Steelers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Commanders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Dolphins (2‑6) vs Rams (4‑4) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Chiefs (8‑0) vs Broncos (5‑4) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Broncos Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Titans (2‑6) vs Chargers (5‑3) |
0 | Titans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Chargers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Colts (4‑5) vs Bills (7‑2) |
0 | Colts Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Bills Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals (5‑4) vs Jets (3‑6) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Jets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Lions (7‑1) vs Texans (6‑3) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Texans Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Jaguars (2‑7) vs Vikings (6‑2) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Bengals (4‑5) vs Ravens (6‑3) |
0 | Bengals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||