The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (1‑2) vs Bills (3‑0) |
23 | Patriots Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Bills Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 72% | ||
| Vikings (3‑0) vs Dolphins (0‑3) |
2 | Vikings Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 69% | ||
| Bears (2‑1) vs Jets (1‑2) |
2 | Bears Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Jets Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Seahawks (2‑1) vs Chargers (0‑3) |
1 | Seahawks Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Commanders (1‑2) vs Colts (1‑2) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Colts Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Chiefs (3‑0) vs Raiders (3‑0) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Jaguars (2‑1) vs Bengals (2‑1) |
0 | Jaguars Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Ravens (2‑1) vs Titans (0‑3) |
0 | Ravens Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Titans Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Texans (0‑3) vs Cowboys (1‑2) |
0 | Texans Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Broncos (2‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (3‑0) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 68% | ||