The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (10‑1) vs Raiders (2‑9) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Raiders Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Falcons (6‑5) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
0 | Falcons Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Texans (7‑5) vs Jaguars (2‑9) |
0 | Texans Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Broncos (7‑5) |
0 | Browns Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Broncos Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Eagles (8‑2) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
0 | Eagles Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Packers (8‑3) vs Dolphins (5‑6) |
0 | Packers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Steelers (8‑3) vs Bengals (4‑7) |
0 | Steelers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bengals Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Titans (3‑8) vs Commanders (7‑5) |
0 | Titans Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Commanders Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Seahawks (6‑5) vs Jets (3‑8) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Ravens (7‑4) |
0 | Chargers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Patriots (3‑9) vs Colts (5‑7) |
0 | Patriots Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Colts Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bills (9‑2) vs Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑6) |
0 | Bills Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Forty-Niners49'ers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||