The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Raiders (2‑10) vs Broncos (10‑2) |
63 | Raiders Wins | 64% | 24% | 3% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 40% | 47% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bengals (4‑8) vs Bills (8‑4) |
9 | Bengals Wins | 44% | 46% | 6% | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bills Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colts (8‑4) vs Jaguars (8‑4) |
3 | Colts Wins | 44% | 45% | 3% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 43% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Steelers (6‑6) vs Ravens (6‑6) |
2 | Steelers Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eagles (8‑4) vs Chargers (8‑4) |
2 | Eagles Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 42% | 45% | 4% | <1% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑6) vs Texans (7‑5) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texans Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Browns (3‑9) vs Titans (1‑11) |
0 | Browns Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Titans Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Jets (3‑9) vs Dolphins (5‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||