PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jan 14 7:30 am

Big 10 Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Michigan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Michigan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
Michigan
(13‑3)

vs
Minnesota
(8‑9)
28 Michigan Wins 29% 19% 15% 12% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins 18% 17% 14% 13% 10% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington
(10‑7)

vs
Purdue
(13‑4)
4 Washington Wins 28% 19% 14% 12% 8% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue Wins 26% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers
(9‑8)

vs
Nebraska
(12‑4)
3 Rutgers Wins 27% 19% 15% 11% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 26% 19% 15% 11% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn State
(12‑5)

vs
Michigan St.
(14‑2)
2 Penn State Wins 29% 18% 14% 11% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St. Wins 25% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(12‑4)

vs
Indiana
(13‑4)
1 Illinois Wins 26% 19% 15% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana Wins 27% 19% 14% 11% 8% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa
(12‑4)

vs
USC
(10‑6)
0 Iowa Wins 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
USC Wins 27% 19% 14% 12% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(10‑6)

vs
Maryland
(13‑4)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 27% 18% 15% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Wins 26% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(13‑3)

vs
Ohio St.
(10‑6)
0 Wisconsin Wins 27% 19% 15% 11% 9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 18% 14% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins 27% 19% 15% 11% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament