The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan (22‑1) vs NorthwesternN. Western (10‑14) |
14 | Michigan Wins | 80% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 59% | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. (15‑8) vs USC (18‑6) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (9‑13) vs Iowa (18‑5) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 79% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin (17‑7) vs Michigan St. (20‑4) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | 79% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (12‑12) vs Penn State (10‑14) |
0 | Washington Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State Wins | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||