The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (16‑6) vs Michigan (16‑5) |
38 | Oregon Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Washington (11‑10) vs Nebraska (14‑8) |
3 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Penn State (13‑10) vs UCLA (17‑6) |
3 | Penn State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Ohio St. (13‑9) vs Maryland (17‑5) |
3 | Ohio St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Purdue (18‑5) vs USC (13‑9) |
3 | Purdue Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Iowa (13‑9) vs Wisconsin (18‑5) |
2 | Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rutgers (11‑11) vs Illinois (15‑7) |
1 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||