The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (11‑1) vs Illinois (8‑3) |
34 | Oregon Wins | 31% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. (8‑4) vs Michigan St. (10‑2) |
2 | Ohio St. Wins | 29% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (8‑4) vs Maryland (10‑2) |
2 | Washington Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (7‑5) vs Indiana (9‑3) |
2 | Rutgers Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska (9‑2) vs UCLA (10‑2) |
0 | Nebraska Wins | 28% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue (8‑4) vs Minnesota (7‑5) |
0 | Purdue Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC (9‑4) vs Michigan (9‑3) |
0 | USC Wins | 28% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 26% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (10‑3) vs Iowa (9‑3) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 27% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (9‑3) vs Penn State (10‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 27% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||