The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑16) vs Maryland (10‑14) |
1 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 22% | 35% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 24% | ||
| Minnesota (12‑14) vs Rutgers (11‑15) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 35% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 27% | 35% | 24% | ||
| Penn State (11‑16) vs Nebraska (22‑4) |
0 | Penn State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 27% | 35% | 23% | ||
| Illinois (21‑5) vs USC (18‑7) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 35% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||
| USC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 27% | 34% | 25% | ||
| Purdue (21‑5) vs Indiana (17‑9) |
0 | Purdue Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||
| Indiana Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 26% | 34% | 25% | ||