The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (4‑0) vs USC (4‑1) |
27 | Oregon Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| USC Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| UCLA (4‑1) vs Washington (3‑1) |
3 | UCLA Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Washington Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (4‑1) vs Iowa (5‑0) |
2 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Maryland (4‑1) vs Ohio St. (3‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Minnesota (4‑1) vs Michigan St. (4‑1) |
1 | Minnesota Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Wisconsin (5‑0) vs Michigan (3‑1) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Michigan Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Purdue (4‑1) vs Penn State (5‑0) |
0 | Purdue Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | ||