The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Oregon (8‑7) vs Ohio St. (10‑4) |
24 | Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Michigan St. (13‑2) vs NorthwesternN. Western (8‑6) |
2 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Michigan (12‑0) vs Penn State (9‑5) |
2 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Purdue (13‑1) vs Washington (9‑5) |
1 | Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Washington Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Maryland (7‑6) vs Indiana (11‑3) |
1 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Illinois (11‑3) vs Rutgers (8‑7) |
1 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| UCLA (10‑4) vs Wisconsin (9‑5) |
0 | UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Iowa (12‑2) vs Minnesota (9‑5) |
0 | Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | ||