Where are the Oregon Ducks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the Ducks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Purdue | 10i Purdue Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 21 vs Ohio St. 70-73 Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Michigan 91-64 Won Fri, Jan 31 vs Indiana 81-76 Won Tue, Feb 04 @ Iowa 90-81 Fri, Feb 07 vs USC Tue, Feb 11 @ Michigan Sat, Feb 15 vs Wisconsin Tue, Feb 18 @ Michigan St. |
2 | 12 | 49% | 25% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan St. | 9 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 @ Rutgers 81-74 Won Tue, Jan 28 vs Minnesota 73-51 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ USC 64-70 Lost Tue, Feb 04 @ UCLA 61-63 Sat, Feb 08 vs Oregon Tue, Feb 11 vs Indiana Sat, Feb 15 @ Illinois Tue, Feb 18 vs Purdue |
2 | 11 | 21% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 8 Michigan Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 19 vs N. Western 80-76 Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Purdue 64-91 Won Mon, Jan 27 vs Penn State 76-72 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Rutgers 66-63 Wed, Feb 05 vs Oregon Sat, Feb 08 @ Indiana Tue, Feb 11 vs Purdue Sun, Feb 16 @ Ohio St. |
2 | 10 | 19% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCLA | 8 UCLA Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 24 @ Washington 65-60 Won Mon, Jan 27 @ USC 82-76 Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Oregon 78-52 Won Tue, Feb 04 vs Michigan St. 63-61 Sat, Feb 08 vs Penn State Tue, Feb 11 @ Illinois Fri, Feb 14 @ Indiana Tue, Feb 18 vs Minnesota |
4 | 12 | 4% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 8 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 26 vs Nebraska 83-55 Lost Wed, Jan 29 @ Maryland 68-76 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ N. Western 75-69 Won Tue, Feb 04 vs Indiana 76-64 Sat, Feb 08 @ Iowa Sat, Feb 15 @ Purdue Tue, Feb 18 vs Illinois Sat, Feb 22 vs Oregon |
4 | 12 | 5% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 7 Maryland Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 19 vs Nebraska 69-66 Won Thu, Jan 23 @ Illinois 91-70 Won Sun, Jan 26 @ Indiana 79-78 Won Wed, Jan 29 vs Wisconsin 76-68 Thu, Feb 06 @ Ohio St. Sun, Feb 09 vs Rutgers Thu, Feb 13 @ Nebraska Sun, Feb 16 vs Iowa |
4 | 11 | 2% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois | 7 Illinois Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 23 vs Maryland 70-91 Won Sun, Jan 26 vs N. Western 83-74 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Nebraska 74-80 Won Sun, Feb 02 vs Ohio St. 87-79 Wed, Feb 05 @ Rutgers Sat, Feb 08 @ Minnesota Tue, Feb 11 vs UCLA Sat, Feb 15 vs Michigan St. |
5 | 12 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon | 5 Oregon Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 21 vs Washington 82-71 Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ Minnesota 69-77 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ UCLA 52-78 Lost Sun, Feb 02 vs Nebraska 71-77 Wed, Feb 05 @ Michigan Sat, Feb 08 @ Michigan St. Tue, Feb 11 vs N. Western Sun, Feb 16 vs Rutgers |
6 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| USC | 5 USC Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 22 @ Nebraska 78-73 Lost Mon, Jan 27 vs UCLA 76-82 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Michigan St. 70-64 Lost Tue, Feb 04 @ N. Western 75-77 Fri, Feb 07 @ Purdue Tue, Feb 11 vs Penn State Sat, Feb 15 vs Minnesota Thu, Feb 20 @ Maryland |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 8% |
| Ohio St. | 5 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 21 @ Purdue 73-70 Won Mon, Jan 27 vs Iowa 82-65 Won Thu, Jan 30 @ Penn State 83-64 Lost Sun, Feb 02 @ Illinois 79-87 Thu, Feb 06 vs Maryland Sat, Feb 08 @ Nebraska Wed, Feb 12 vs Washington Sun, Feb 16 vs Michigan |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Indiana | 5 Indiana Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 22 @ N. Western 70-79 Lost Sun, Jan 26 vs Maryland 78-79 Lost Fri, Jan 31 @ Purdue 76-81 Lost Tue, Feb 04 @ Wisconsin 64-76 Sat, Feb 08 vs Michigan Tue, Feb 11 @ Michigan St. Fri, Feb 14 vs UCLA Sun, Feb 23 vs Purdue |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 11% |
| Rutgers | 4 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 20 @ Penn State 72-80 Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs Michigan St. 74-81 Won Wed, Jan 29 @ N. Western 79-72 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Michigan 63-66 Wed, Feb 05 vs Illinois Sun, Feb 09 @ Maryland Wed, Feb 12 vs Iowa Sun, Feb 16 @ Oregon |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 36% |
| Iowa | 4 Iowa Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 21 vs Minnesota 67-72 Won Fri, Jan 24 vs Penn State 76-75 Lost Mon, Jan 27 @ Ohio St. 65-82 Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Purdue 81-90 Sat, Feb 08 vs Wisconsin Wed, Feb 12 @ Rutgers Sun, Feb 16 @ Maryland Wed, Feb 19 vs Oregon |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 32% |
| Nebraska | 4 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 22 vs USC 73-78 Lost Sun, Jan 26 @ Wisconsin 55-83 Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Illinois 80-74 Won Sun, Feb 02 @ Oregon 77-71 Wed, Feb 05 @ Washington Sat, Feb 08 vs Ohio St. Thu, Feb 13 vs Maryland Sun, Feb 16 @ N. Western |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% |
| Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs Oregon 77-69 Lost Tue, Jan 28 @ Michigan St. 51-73 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Washington 68-71 Won Tue, Feb 04 @ Penn State 69-61 Sat, Feb 08 vs Illinois Sat, Feb 15 @ USC Tue, Feb 18 @ UCLA Sat, Feb 22 vs Penn State |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 35% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 4 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 26 @ Illinois 74-83 Lost Wed, Jan 29 vs Rutgers 72-79 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Wisconsin 69-75 Won Tue, Feb 04 vs USC 77-75 Sat, Feb 08 @ Washington Tue, Feb 11 @ Oregon Sun, Feb 16 vs Nebraska Thu, Feb 20 @ Ohio St. |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 36% |
| Penn State | 3 Penn State Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 24 @ Iowa 75-76 Lost Mon, Jan 27 @ Michigan 72-76 Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs Ohio St. 64-83 Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Minnesota 61-69 Sat, Feb 08 @ UCLA Tue, Feb 11 @ USC Sat, Feb 15 vs Washington Wed, Feb 19 vs Nebraska |
9 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 66% |
| Washington | 2 Washington Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 15 vs Purdue 58-69 Lost Tue, Jan 21 @ Oregon 71-82 Lost Fri, Jan 24 vs UCLA 60-65 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Minnesota 71-68 Wed, Feb 05 vs Nebraska Sat, Feb 08 vs N. Western Wed, Feb 12 @ Ohio St. Sat, Feb 15 @ Penn State |
8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 62% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 71% | ||
| (15)Minnesota | 4 | 8 | 4% |
| (13)Iowa | 4 | 7 | 3% |
| (12)Rutgers | 4 | 7 | 3% |
| (16)NorthwesternN. Western | 4 | 8 | 3% |
| (11)Indiana | 5 | 7 | 3% |
| (9)USC | 5 | 6 | 2% |
| (18)Washington | 2 | 8 | 2% |
| (10)Ohio St. | 5 | 6 | 2% |
| (17)Penn State | 3 | 9 | 2% |
| (14)Nebraska | 4 | 7 | 2% |
| (7)Illinois | 7 | 5 | 1% |
| (6)Maryland | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)UCLA | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)Wisconsin | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (3)Michigan | 8 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Purdue | 10 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)Michigan St. | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | 1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | USC (13‑9) |
68‑60 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 10:30 pm |
| 5 | UCLA (17‑6) |
71‑73 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Illinois (15‑7) |
77‑109 | Home | Thu Jan 2, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Maryland (17‑5) |
83‑79 | Home | Sun Jan 5, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Ohio St. (13‑9) |
73‑71 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Penn State (13‑10) |
82‑81 | Away | Sun Jan 12, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Purdue (18‑5) |
58‑65 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Washington (11‑10) |
82‑71 | Home | Tue Jan 21, 11:00 pm |
| 12 | Minnesota (12‑11) |
69‑77 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | UCLA (17‑6) |
52‑78 | Away | Thu Jan 30, 10:30 pm |
| 13 | Nebraska (14‑8) |
71‑77 | Home | Sun Feb 2, 7:30 pm |
| 14 | Michigan (16‑5) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, 6:30 pm | |
| 14 | Michigan St. (18‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 12:00 pm | |
| 15 | NorthwesternN. Western (13‑10) |
Home | Tue Feb 11, 11:00 pm | |
| 15 | Rutgers (11‑11) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Iowa (13‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, 8:30 pm | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (18‑5) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 12:00 pm | |
| 17 | USC (13‑9) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Indiana (14‑9) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Washington (11‑10) |
Away | Sun Mar 9, 3:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC Riverside (15‑8) |
Big WestBig West | 91‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 10:30 pm |
| 1 | Montana (15‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 79‑48 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Portland (8‑15) |
West CoastWest Coast | 80‑70 (OT) | Home | Tue Nov 12, 11:00 pm |
| 2 | Troy (14‑7) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 82‑61 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Oregon St. (16‑7) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑75 | Away | Thu Nov 21, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas A&M (17‑5) |
SECSEC | 80‑70 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 4:30 pm |
| 4 | San Diego St. (15‑5) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 78‑68 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Alabama (19‑3) |
SECSEC | 83‑81 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 9:30 pm |
| 6 | Stephen F. Austin (10‑13) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 79‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Stanford (15‑7) |
ACCACC | 76‑61 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Weber St. (9‑15) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 89‑49 | Home | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |