Where are the Oregon Ducks going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the Ducks winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Michigan St. | 2i Michigan St. Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 04 @ Minnesota 90-72 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Nebraska 89-52 Won Tue, Dec 17 @ Oakland 77-58 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Florida At. 86-69 Mon, Dec 30 vs Western Michigan Fri, Jan 03 @ Ohio St. Thu, Jan 09 vs Washington Sun, Jan 12 @ N. Western |
0 | 2 | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Michigan | 2 Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Iowa 85-83 Lost Tue, Dec 10 @ Arkansas 87-89 Lost Wed, Dec 18 @ Oklahoma 86-87 Won Sun, Dec 22 vs Fort Wayne 89-58 Sun, Dec 29 vs Western Kentucky Sat, Jan 04 @ USC Tue, Jan 07 @ UCLA Sun, Jan 12 vs Washington |
0 | 2 | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| UCLA | 2 UCLA Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Oregon 73-71 Won Sat, Dec 14 @ Arizona 57-54 Won Tue, Dec 17 vs Prairie View A&M 111-75 Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs North Carolina 74-76 Sat, Dec 28 vs Gonzaga Sat, Jan 04 @ Nebraska Tue, Jan 07 vs Michigan Fri, Jan 10 @ Maryland |
0 | 2 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Oregon | 1 Oregon Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 04 @ USC 68-60 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs UCLA 71-73 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs Stephen F. Austin 79-61 Won Sat, Dec 21 @ Stanford 76-61 Sun, Dec 29 vs Weber St. Thu, Jan 02 vs Illinois Sun, Jan 05 vs Maryland Thu, Jan 09 @ Ohio St. |
1 | 2 | 27% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Nebraska | 1 Nebraska Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 01 vs North Florida 103-72 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Michigan St. 52-89 Won Fri, Dec 13 vs Indiana 85-68 Won Sun, Dec 22 @ Murray State 66-49 Mon, Dec 30 vs Southern Sat, Jan 04 vs UCLA Tue, Jan 07 @ Iowa Sun, Jan 12 @ Purdue |
1 | 2 | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Iowa | 1 Iowa Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Michigan 83-85 Lost Thu, Dec 12 vs Iowa St. 80-89 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs N. Orleans 104-57 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Utah 95-88 Mon, Dec 30 vs New Hampshire Fri, Jan 03 @ Wisconsin Tue, Jan 07 vs Nebraska Sat, Jan 11 vs Indiana |
1 | 2 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 19% |
| Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 04 vs Ohio St. 83-59 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Purdue 78-83 Won Tue, Dec 17 vs Francis 111-57 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Syracuse 87-60 Sat, Dec 28 vs MD Eastern Shore Thu, Jan 02 @ Washington Sun, Jan 05 @ Oregon Fri, Jan 10 vs UCLA |
1 | 2 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 13% |
| Ohio St. | 1 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Rutgers 80-66 Lost Sat, Dec 14 @ Auburn 53-91 Won Tue, Dec 17 vs Valparaiso 95-73 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Kentucky 85-65 Sun, Dec 29 vs Indiana St. Fri, Jan 03 vs Michigan St. Mon, Jan 06 @ Minnesota Thu, Jan 09 vs Oregon |
1 | 2 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 20% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 1 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 03 @ Iowa 79-80 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Illinois 70-66 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs Georgia Tech 71-60 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs DePaul 84-64 Sun, Dec 29 vs N. Eastern Thu, Jan 02 @ Penn State Sun, Jan 05 @ Purdue Sun, Jan 12 vs Michigan St. |
1 | 2 | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Rutgers | 1 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Ohio St. 66-80 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Penn State 80-76 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Seton Hall 66-63 Lost Sat, Dec 21 vs Princeton 82-83 Mon, Dec 30 vs Columbia Thu, Jan 02 @ Indiana Mon, Jan 06 vs Wisconsin Thu, Jan 09 vs Purdue |
1 | 2 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 42% |
| Penn State | 1 Penn State Recent Games Won Thu, Dec 05 vs Purdue 81-70 Lost Tue, Dec 10 @ Rutgers 76-80 Won Sat, Dec 14 vs Coppin St. 99-51 Won Sat, Dec 21 @ Drexel 75-64 Sun, Dec 29 vs Penn. Thu, Jan 02 vs N. Western Sun, Jan 05 vs Indiana Wed, Jan 08 @ Illinois |
1 | 2 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| Purdue | 1 Purdue Recent Games Lost Thu, Dec 05 @ Penn State 70-81 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Maryland 83-78 Lost Sat, Dec 14 vs Texas A&M 66-70 Lost Sat, Dec 21 @ Auburn 69-87 Sun, Dec 29 vs Toledo Thu, Jan 02 @ Minnesota Sun, Jan 05 vs N. Western Thu, Jan 09 @ Rutgers |
1 | 2 | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Indiana | 1 Indiana Recent Games Won Fri, Dec 06 vs Miami OH 76-57 Won Mon, Dec 09 vs Minnesota 82-67 Lost Fri, Dec 13 @ Nebraska 68-85 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Chattan. 74-65 Sun, Dec 29 vs Winthrop Thu, Jan 02 vs Rutgers Sun, Jan 05 @ Penn State Wed, Jan 08 vs USC |
1 | 2 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% |
| Illinois | 1 Illinois Recent Games Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ N. Western 66-70 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Wisconsin 86-80 Lost Sat, Dec 14 vs Tennessee 64-66 Won Sun, Dec 22 @ Missouri 80-77 Sun, Dec 29 vs Chicago St. Thu, Jan 02 @ Oregon Sun, Jan 05 @ Washington Wed, Jan 08 vs Penn State |
1 | 2 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
| USC | 1 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Washington 85-61 Won Sun, Dec 15 vs Montana St. 89-63 Won Wed, Dec 18 vs CSU Northridge 90-69 Won Sun, Dec 22 vs Southern 82-51 Sat, Jan 04 vs Michigan Wed, Jan 08 @ Indiana Sat, Jan 11 @ Illinois Tue, Jan 14 vs Iowa |
1 | 2 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
| Wisconsin | 0 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Marquette 74-88 Lost Tue, Dec 10 @ Illinois 80-86 Won Sat, Dec 14 @ Butler 83-74 Won Sun, Dec 22 vs Detroit 76-53 Fri, Jan 03 vs Iowa Mon, Jan 06 @ Rutgers Fri, Jan 10 vs Minnesota Tue, Jan 14 vs Ohio St. |
2 | 2 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 11% |
| Washington | 0 Washington Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 03 @ UCLA 58-69 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs USC 61-85 Won Tue, Dec 10 vs Eastern Washington 87-69 Won Wed, Dec 18 vs Washington St. 89-73 Mon, Dec 23 vs Seattle Sun, Dec 29 vs NJIT Thu, Jan 02 vs Maryland Sun, Jan 05 vs Illinois |
2 | 2 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 33% |
| Minnesota | 0 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sun, Dec 01 vs Bethune-Cookman 79-62 Lost Wed, Dec 04 vs Michigan St. 72-90 Lost Mon, Dec 09 @ Indiana 67-82 Won Sat, Dec 21 vs Fair. Dickinson 74-60 Sun, Dec 29 vs Morgan St. Thu, Jan 02 vs Purdue Mon, Jan 06 vs Ohio St. Fri, Jan 10 @ Wisconsin |
2 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 63% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 97% | ||
| (15)USC | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (17)Washington | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (10)Rutgers | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Iowa | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (18)Minnesota | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (7)Maryland | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (13)Indiana | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (8)Ohio St. | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (16)Wisconsin | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (14)Illinois | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (9)NorthwesternN. Western | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)Nebraska | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (11)Penn State | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (12)Purdue | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)UCLA | 2 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Michigan | 2 | 0 | <1% |
| (1)Michigan St. | 2 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | USC (9‑4) |
68‑60 | Away | Wed Dec 4, 10:30 pm |
| 5 | UCLA (10‑2) |
71‑73 | Home | Sun Dec 8, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Illinois (8‑3) |
Home | Thu Jan 2, 10:00 pm | |
| 9 | Maryland (10‑2) |
Home | Sun Jan 5, 4:00 pm | |
| 10 | Ohio St. (8‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 9, TBD | |
| 10 | Penn State (10‑2) |
Away | Sun Jan 12, 4:00 pm | |
| 11 | Purdue (8‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, 3:00 pm | |
| 12 | Washington (8‑3) |
Home | Tue Jan 21, 11:00 pm | |
| 12 | Minnesota (7‑5) |
Away | Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm | |
| 13 | UCLA (10‑2) |
Away | Thu Jan 30, 10:30 pm | |
| 13 | Nebraska (8‑2) |
Home | Sun Feb 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Michigan (9‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, TBD | |
| 14 | Michigan St. (10‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | NorthwesternN. Western (9‑3) |
Home | Tue Feb 11, 11:00 pm | |
| 15 | Rutgers (7‑5) |
Home | Sun Feb 16, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Iowa (9‑3) |
Away | Wed Feb 19, TBD | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (10‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | USC (9‑4) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Indiana (9‑3) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Washington (8‑3) |
Away | Sun Mar 9, 3:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UC Riverside (8‑5) |
Big WestBig West | 91‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 10:30 pm |
| 1 | Montana (7‑6) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 79‑48 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Portland (5‑7) |
West CoastWest Coast | 80‑70 (OT) | Home | Tue Nov 12, 11:00 pm |
| 2 | Troy (8‑4) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 82‑61 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Oregon St. (9‑2) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑75 | Away | Thu Nov 21, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Texas A&M (10‑2) |
SECSEC | 80‑70 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 4:30 pm |
| 4 | San Diego St. (8‑2) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 78‑68 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Alabama (10‑2) |
SECSEC | 83‑81 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 9:30 pm |
| 6 | Stephen F. Austin (6‑6) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 79‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Stanford (9‑3) |
ACCACC | 76‑61 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Weber St. (6‑7) |
Big SkyBig Sky | Home | Sun Dec 29, 5:00 pm |