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Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Big Sky Basketball - Week 11 of 18

Sacramento St. Hornets Standings

Where are the Sacramento St. Hornets going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Sacramento St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Hornets winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Big Sky Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
 L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5*
First Round Bye
 6*
First Round Bye
 7 8 9 10
Northern Colorado 4i
Northern Colorado Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs Weber St.           89-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Idaho St.           93-92 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  Montana St.         83-82 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Montana             81-57 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Portland St.       
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Sacram. St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Idaho              
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Eastern Washington 

 0 4 59% 22% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Montana 3
Montana Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Eastern Washington  92-81 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 @  Idaho               73-71 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs Northern Arizona    81-76 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Northern Colorado   57-81 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Idaho St.          
     Mon, Jan 20 vs Idaho              
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Montana St.        

 1 4 25% 34% 17% 11% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Portland St. 2
Portland St. Recent Games

Won  Tue, Dec 31 vs Walla Walla         96-39 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Sacram. St.         53-56 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 vs Eastern Washington  64-59 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Idaho               75-63 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Northern Arizona   
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Weber St.          
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Idaho St.          

 1 3 9% 15% 18% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 4% 2%
Idaho 2
Idaho Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana St.         69-64 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Montana             71-73 
Won  Thu, Jan 09 @  Sacram. St.         80-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Portland St.        63-75 
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Eastern Washington 
     Mon, Jan 20 @  Montana            
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Northern Colorado  
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Northern Arizona   

 2 4 2% 5% 10% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 11% 5%
Eastern Washington 2
Eastern Washington Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Montana             81-92 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Montana St.         68-63 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Portland St.        59-64 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Sacram. St.         65-54 
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Idaho              
     Mon, Jan 20 @  Montana St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Northern Colorado  

 2 4 1% 4% 8% 11% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 7%
Weber St. 1
Weber St. Recent Games

Lost Sun, Dec 29 @  Oregon              49-89 
Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Northern Colorado   72-89 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Northern Arizona    77-80 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 @  Idaho St.           77-69 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Montana            
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Montana St.        
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Portland St.       
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Sacram. St.        

 2 3 2% 7% 11% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 7%
Sacramento St. 1
Sacramento St. Recent Games

Won  Mon, Dec 30 vs Bethesda (CA)       78-38 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Portland St.        56-53 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Idaho               67-80 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Eastern Washington  54-65 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Northern Arizona   
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Northern Colorado  
     Thu, Jan 23 vs Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 25 vs Weber St.          

 2 3 <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 8% 13% 21% 47%
Idaho St. 1
Idaho St. Recent Games

Lost Wed, Dec 18 vs Utah Valley         56-70 
Won  Thu, Jan 02 @  Northern Arizona    72-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Northern Colorado   92-93 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Weber St.           69-77 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Montana St.        
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Montana            
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Portland St.       

 2 3 1% 4% 8% 10% 12% 13% 13% 14% 14% 11%
Montana St. 1
Montana St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 @  Idaho               64-69 
Lost Sat, Jan 04 @  Eastern Washington  63-68 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 vs Northern Colorado   82-83 
Won  Sat, Jan 11 vs Northern Arizona    58-53 
     Thu, Jan 16 @  Idaho St.          
     Sat, Jan 18 @  Weber St.          
     Mon, Jan 20 vs Eastern Washington 
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Montana            

 3 4 1% 3% 7% 10% 12% 13% 14% 15% 15% 12%
Northern Arizona 1
Northern Arizona Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Idaho St.           67-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 04 vs Weber St.           80-77 
Lost Thu, Jan 09 @  Montana             76-81 
Lost Sat, Jan 11 @  Montana St.         53-58 
     Thu, Jan 16 vs Sacram. St.        
     Sat, Jan 18 vs Portland St.       
     Thu, Jan 23 @  Eastern Washington 
     Sat, Jan 25 @  Idaho              

 3 4 2% 5% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 12% 11% 8%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(7) Hornets 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 11%
(9)Montana St. 1 3 17%
(8)Idaho St. 1 2 16%
(5)Eastern Washington 2 2 15%
(10)Northern Arizona 1 3 12%
(4)Idaho 2 2 12%
(6)Weber St. 1 2 11%
(3)Portland St. 2 1 5%
(2)Montana 3 1 1%
(1)Northern Colorado 4 0 <1%
Elimination X



Hornets Conference Schedule
Current Week 11
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 Portland St.
(10‑6)		 56‑53 Home Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm
10 Idaho
(7‑10)		 67‑80 Home Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm
10 Eastern Washington
(6‑11)		 54‑65 Home Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm
11 Northern Arizona
(10‑7)		   Away Thu Jan 16, 8:00 pm
11 Northern Colorado
(12‑5)		   Away Sat Jan 18, TBD
12 Idaho St.
(6‑8)		   Home Thu Jan 23, 10:00 pm
12 Weber St.
(7‑10)		   Home Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm
13 Montana St.
(6‑11)		   Away Thu Jan 30, 9:00 pm
13 Montana
(10‑7)		   Away Sat Feb 1, TBD
14 Eastern Washington
(6‑11)		   Away Thu Feb 6, 9:00 pm
14 Idaho
(7‑10)		   Away Sat Feb 8, 5:00 pm
15 Northern Colorado
(12‑5)		   Home Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm
15 Northern Arizona
(10‑7)		   Home Sat Feb 15, 4:00 pm
16 Weber St.
(7‑10)		   Away Thu Feb 20, 9:00 pm
16 Idaho St.
(6‑8)		   Away Sat Feb 22, 8:00 pm
17 Montana
(10‑7)		   Home Thu Feb 27, 10:00 pm
17 Montana St.
(6‑11)		   Home Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm
18 Portland St.
(10‑6)		   Away Mon Mar 3, 10:00 pm


Hornets Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Cal Maritime ‑‑ 106‑44 Home Tue Nov 5, 10:00 pm
1 Fresno St.
(4‑13)		 Mountain WestMntn West 57‑64 Away Fri Nov 8, 10:00 pm
2 UC San Diego
(14‑3)		 Big WestBig West 54‑64 Away Tue Nov 12, 10:00 pm
2 CSU Northridge
(11‑6)		 Big WestBig West 69‑79 Home Sat Nov 16, 8:00 pm
3 California
(8‑8)		 ACCACC 77‑83 Away Sun Nov 24, 4:00 pm
4 Air Force
(3‑13)		 Mountain WestMntn West 63‑61 Away Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm
4 Mercyhurst
(7‑11)		 NortheastNorth East 60‑66 Home Sat Nov 30, 8:00 pm
5 Denver
(6‑13)		 SummitSummit 59‑80 Away Wed Dec 4, 9:00 pm
5 Nebraska Omaha
(10‑9)		 SummitSummit 60‑70 Home Sat Dec 7, 4:00 pm
6 UC Davis
(9‑8)		 Big WestBig West 62‑69 Home Sat Dec 14, 10:00 pm
7 Oregon St.
(13‑5)		 West CoastWest Coast 45‑82 Away Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm
7 Stanislaus St. ‑‑ 98‑47 Home Sun Dec 22, 4:00 pm
9 Bethesda (CA) ‑‑ 78‑38 Home Mon Dec 30, 4:00 pm