Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 10i UC Irvine Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Bakersfield 78-62 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ UCSB 79-84 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ Cal Poly 73-79 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs CSU Fullerton 86-65 Thu, Feb 19 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 21 vs UC San Diego Thu, Feb 26 @ CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 28 vs UCSB |
4 | 14 | 27% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawai'i | 10 Hawai'i Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Long Beach St. 89-82 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs UC San Diego 72-67 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ CSU Bakersfield 89-74 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ CSU Northridge 60-84 Thu, Feb 19 vs Cal Poly Sat, Feb 21 vs UCSB Thu, Feb 26 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 28 @ CSU Fullerton |
4 | 14 | 41% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCSB | 10 UCSB Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Davis 75-85 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Irvine 84-79 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ UC Riverside 76-68 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Cal Poly 79-89 Thu, Feb 19 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 21 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 26 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 28 @ UC Irvine |
5 | 15 | 14% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| CSU Northridge | 9 CSU Northridge Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs UC San Diego 81-64 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Cal Poly 97-96 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Riverside 88-74 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Hawai'i 84-60 Thu, Feb 19 @ UCSB Sat, Feb 21 @ Long Beach St. Thu, Feb 26 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 28 @ UC Riverside |
5 | 14 | 13% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| UC Davis | 9 UC Davis Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 05 vs UCSB 85-75 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Cal Poly 67-58 Lost Thu, Feb 12 @ UC San Diego 51-68 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St. 71-54 Thu, Feb 19 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 21 @ UC Riverside Thu, Feb 26 vs Hawai'i Thu, Mar 05 @ Long Beach St. |
6 | 15 | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| CSU Fullerton | 8 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 05 vs UC Riverside 78-72 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs CSU Bakersfield 82-66 Won Thu, Feb 12 @ Long Beach St. 86-82 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Irvine 65-86 Thu, Feb 19 vs UC Davis Sat, Feb 21 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 28 vs Hawai'i Thu, Mar 05 vs UC San Diego |
7 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 37% | 22% | <1% |
| UC San Diego | 8 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Long Beach St. 77-74 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Hawai'i 67-72 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Davis 68-51 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs UC Riverside 72-66 Sat, Feb 21 @ UC Irvine Thu, Feb 26 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 28 vs Cal Poly Thu, Mar 05 @ CSU Fullerton |
7 | 15 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 20% | 11% | <1% |
| Cal Poly | 7 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Northridge 96-97 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ UC Davis 58-67 Won Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Irvine 79-73 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs UCSB 89-79 Thu, Feb 19 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 26 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 28 @ UC San Diego Thu, Mar 05 @ UC Irvine |
8 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 24% | 58% | 7% |
| Long Beach St. | 4 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawai'i 82-89 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC San Diego 74-77 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs CSU Fullerton 82-86 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Davis 54-71 Thu, Feb 19 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 21 vs CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 26 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 28 @ CSU Bakersfield |
10 | 14 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% |
| UC Riverside | 3 UC Riverside Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ CSU Fullerton 72-78 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Northridge 74-88 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs UCSB 68-76 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ UC San Diego 66-72 Thu, Feb 19 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 21 vs UC Davis Thu, Feb 26 @ UCSB Sat, Feb 28 vs CSU Northridge |
12 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs UC Davis 72-80 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Irvine 62-78 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Fullerton 66-82 Lost Thu, Feb 12 vs Hawai'i 74-89 Thu, Feb 19 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 21 vs CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 26 @ UC San Diego Sat, Feb 28 vs Long Beach St. |
12 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 1% | ||
| (7)UC San Diego | 8 | 7 | 25% |
| (5)UC Davis | 9 | 6 | 19% |
| (6)CSU Fullerton | 8 | 7 | 16% |
| (3)UCSB | 10 | 5 | 13% |
| (4)CSU Northridge | 9 | 5 | 10% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 10 | 4 | 7% |
| (2)Hawai'i | 10 | 4 | 2% |
| (9)Long Beach St. | 4 | 10 | <1% |
| (10)UC Riverside | 3 | 12 | <1% |
| (11)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 | 12 | <1% |
| Elimination | 7% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSU Fullerton (13‑14) |
94‑91 | Away | Thu Dec 4, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | UC Riverside (8‑19) |
84‑88 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | UC San Diego (18‑9) |
67‑65 | Home | Thu Jan 1, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Long Beach St. (8‑18) |
66‑74 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | CSU Northridge (16‑10) |
90‑95 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | UC Davis (16‑10) |
84‑78 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Hawai'i (18‑6) |
66‑86 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | UCSB (17‑9) |
67‑107 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (13‑14) |
78‑93 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑18) |
104‑79 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 9:30 pm |
| 13 | UC Riverside (8‑19) |
94‑87 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (16‑10) |
96‑97 | Home | Thu Feb 5, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | UC Davis (16‑10) |
58‑67 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 5:00 pm |
| 15 | UC Irvine (17‑9) |
79‑73 | Home | Thu Feb 12, 10:00 pm |
| 15 | UCSB (17‑9) |
89‑79 | Home | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Hawai'i (18‑6) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 11:59 pm | |
| 17 | Long Beach St. (8‑18) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC San Diego (18‑9) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (17‑9) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑18) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC (18‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Pacific Lutheran | ‑‑ | 101‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Seattle (15‑11) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑71 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Colorado St. (15‑10) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 79‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Montana (14‑12) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑90 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Utah (9‑15) |
Big 12Big 12 | 92‑85 | Away | Thu Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Arizona (10‑17) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑93 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (16‑11) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 68‑84 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Redlands | ‑‑ | 87‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana St. (15‑11) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (17‑8) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑108 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Idaho (14‑12) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 21, 7:00 pm |