Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 12i UC Irvine Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs UC Davis 73-66 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC San Diego 67-85 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs UCSB 62-60 Won Sun, Feb 16 @ Hawai'i 66-49 Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 22 @ CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 27 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Mar 01 vs Long Beach St. |
2 | 14 | 54% | 44% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| UC San Diego | 12 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Riverside 91-71 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ UC Irvine 85-67 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ CSU Bakersfield 73-54 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs UC Davis 85-60 Thu, Feb 20 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 22 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 27 @ CSU Northridge Sat, Mar 01 vs CSU Fullerton |
2 | 14 | 45% | 53% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| CSU Northridge | 10 CSU Northridge Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs CSU Bakersfield 88-62 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs CSU Fullerton 82-63 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Long Beach St. 81-80 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Cal Poly 89-85 Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 22 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 27 vs UC San Diego Sat, Mar 01 vs UCSB |
4 | 14 | <1% | 1% | 23% | 46% | 21% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| UC Riverside | 10 UC Riverside Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ UC San Diego 71-91 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Bakersfield 69-64 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ UC Davis 74-75 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs UCSB 81-69 Thu, Feb 20 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 22 @ Cal Poly Fri, Feb 28 @ Hawai'i Thu, Mar 06 vs CSU Northridge |
5 | 15 | <1% | 2% | 69% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| UC Davis | 9 UC Davis Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Long Beach St. 73-65 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ CSU Fullerton 65-49 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs UC Riverside 75-74 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ UC San Diego 60-85 Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 22 vs CSU Northridge Sun, Mar 02 @ Hawai'i Thu, Mar 06 vs UC Irvine |
6 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 48% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| UCSB | 8 UCSB Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 @ CSU Bakersfield 81-75 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Hawai'i 76-72 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ UC Irvine 60-62 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ UC Riverside 69-81 Thu, Feb 20 vs CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 22 @ Long Beach St. Thu, Feb 27 vs Cal Poly Sat, Mar 01 @ CSU Northridge |
7 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 26% | 62% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawai'i | 6 Hawai'i Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Cal Poly 63-79 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UCSB 72-76 Won Fri, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St. 62-60 Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs UC Irvine 49-66 Sat, Feb 22 @ UC San Diego Fri, Feb 28 vs UC Riverside Sun, Mar 02 vs UC Davis Thu, Mar 06 @ CSU Bakersfield |
9 | 15 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 58% | 28% | 9% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 5 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UCSB 75-81 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ UC Riverside 64-69 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs UC San Diego 54-73 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs CSU Fullerton 91-54 Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Irvine Thu, Feb 27 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Mar 01 @ Cal Poly |
10 | 15 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 31% | 52% |
| Cal Poly | 4 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ UC Riverside 62-80 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs Hawai'i 79-63 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ CSU Fullerton 98-83 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ CSU Northridge 85-89 Thu, Feb 20 vs UC San Diego Sat, Feb 22 vs UC Riverside Thu, Feb 27 @ UCSB Sat, Mar 01 vs CSU Bakersfield |
10 | 14 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 38% | 42% |
| Long Beach St. | 3 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ UCSB 54-85 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs UC Davis 65-73 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs CSU Northridge 80-81 Lost Fri, Feb 14 @ Hawai'i 60-62 Thu, Feb 20 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 22 vs UCSB Thu, Feb 27 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Mar 01 @ UC Irvine |
11 | 14 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| CSU Fullerton | 1 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ CSU Northridge 63-82 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UC Davis 49-65 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Cal Poly 83-98 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ CSU Bakersfield 54-91 Thu, Feb 20 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 27 vs UC Irvine Sat, Mar 01 @ UC San Diego Thu, Mar 06 @ Cal Poly |
14 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | X | ||
| (6)UCSB | 8 | 7 | 25% |
| (5)UC Davis | 9 | 6 | 22% |
| (3)CSU Northridge | 10 | 4 | 10% |
| (4)UC Riverside | 10 | 5 | 2% |
| (7)Hawai'i | 6 | 9 | 1% |
| (8)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 5 | 10 | <1% |
| (10)Long Beach St. | 3 | 11 | <1% |
| (11)CSU Fullerton | 1 | 14 | <1% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 12 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)UC San Diego | 12 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | 42% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | UC Davis (15‑11) |
66‑77 | Away | Thu Dec 5, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | CSU Northridge (18‑7) |
91‑102 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | UC Irvine (22‑4) |
89‑98 (OT) | Home | Thu Jan 2, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Hawai'i (14‑12) |
55‑68 | Away | Sun Jan 5, 12:01 am |
| 10 | UC San Diego (22‑4) |
68‑95 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | UCSB (16‑10) |
72‑75 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | UC Davis (15‑11) |
54‑65 | Home | Thu Jan 16, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | UC Irvine (22‑4) |
71‑101 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | Long Beach St. (7‑19) |
78‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 5:00 pm |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (11‑16) |
90‑81 | Away | Thu Jan 30, 9:30 pm |
| 13 | UC Riverside (17‑10) |
62‑80 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Hawai'i (14‑12) |
79‑63 | Home | Thu Feb 6, 10:00 pm |
| 15 | CSU Fullerton (6‑21) |
98‑83 | Away | Thu Feb 13, 10:00 pm |
| 15 | CSU Northridge (18‑7) |
85‑89 | Away | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | UC San Diego (22‑4) |
Home | Thu Feb 20, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | UC Riverside (17‑10) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 5:00 pm | |
| 17 | UCSB (16‑10) |
Away | Thu Feb 27, TBD | |
| 17 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (11‑16) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 5:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU Fullerton (6‑21) |
Home | Thu Mar 6, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | Long Beach St. (7‑19) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Francisco (21‑7) |
West CoastWest Coast | 78‑86 | Away | Tue Nov 5, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | California (12‑14) |
ACCACC | 73‑91 | Away | Thu Nov 7, 10:00 pm |
| 1 | Menlo | ‑‑ | 99‑66 | Home | Sun Nov 10, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Seattle (10‑15) |
WACWAC | 75‑71 | Home | Thu Nov 14, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Eastern Washington (10‑16) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑78 | Away | Sun Nov 17, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Arizona St. (12‑13) |
Big 12Big 12 | 89‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | St. Mary's (23‑4) |
West CoastWest Coast | 66‑80 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | Grambling (7‑17) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 82‑79 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Stanford (16‑10) |
ACCACC | 97‑90 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 10:00 pm |
| 6 | San José State (12‑15) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 100‑107 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 14, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Denver (9‑19) |
SummitSummit | 95‑94 (OT) | Home | Tue Dec 17, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Nebraska Omaha (16‑12) |
SummitSummit | 82‑86 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 8:00 pm |