The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| William & Mary (16‑10) vs Campbell (12‑14) |
72 | William & Mary Wins | <1% | 1% | 15% | 26% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Campbell Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hampton (12‑14) vs Hofstra (17‑10) |
20 | Hampton Wins | <1% | 1% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hofstra Wins | <1% | <1% | 8% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNC Wilmington (22‑4) vs Monmouth (14‑12) |
15 | UNC Wilmington Wins | X | <1% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Monmouth Wins | <1% | <1% | 6% | 16% | 24% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (6‑18) vs Drexel (13‑14) |
7 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | <1% | 1% | 11% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Drexel Wins | <1% | <1% | 9% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (10‑14) vs Charleston (17‑10) |
1 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 10% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charleston Wins | X | <1% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||