The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| William & Mary (8‑3) vs Towson (6‑5) |
25 | William & Mary Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 15% | ||
| Towson Wins | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Hampton (6‑6) vs Stony Brook (8‑4) |
1 | Hampton Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (4‑5) vs Elon (6‑4) |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Elon Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Campbell (5‑6) vs Hofstra (8‑4) |
1 | Campbell Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 19% | 16% | ||
| Hofstra Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (6‑4) vs UNC Wilmington (9‑1) |
0 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 15% | ||
| UNC Wilmington Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drexel (4‑7) vs Charleston (6‑6) |
0 | Drexel Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Charleston Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||