The William & Mary Tribe What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how William & Mary plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 16% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ?? |
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 15% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 9% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 17 | 1 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 16 | 2 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 15 | 3 | 62% | 35% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 14 | 4 | 31% | 52% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 13 | 5 | 10% | 42% | 39% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 12 | 6 | 2% | 17% | 44% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 2% | 19% | 41% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 35% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ?? |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 33% | 14% | 2% | <1% | ?? |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 38% | 19% | 3% | ?? |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 31% | 44% | 18% | ?? |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 42% | 50% | ?? |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% | ?? |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% | ?? |