The William & Mary Tribe What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how William & Mary plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Win Next Game | 11 | 4 | 6% | 8% | 23% | 43% | 15% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 10 | 4 | 3% | 4% | 13% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 10 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 40% | 28% | 15% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 3% | 15% | 36% | 33% | 9% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3% | 4% | 13% | 40% | 23% | 12% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 24% | 42% | 20% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario William & Mary beats UNC Wilmington Drexel beats Charleston Towson beats Campbell |
Worst Case Scenario UNC Wilmington beats William & Mary Charleston beats Drexel Campbell beats Towson |
|||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 52% | 37% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 13 | 5 | 1% | 12% | 54% | 33% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 12 | 6 | X | <1% | 9% | 75% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 11 | 7 | X | X | X | 25% | 54% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 10 | 8 | X | X | X | X | 9% | 42% | 49% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |