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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Cornell Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Cornell Big Red are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Big Red final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cornell Big Red fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Cornell Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Cornell Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)

vs
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)

1 Game Remaining
65 Cornell Sweeps 1 Game <1% 7% 17% 20% 25% 28% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 8% 25% 51% 14% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)

vs
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)

1 Game Remaining
18 Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game <1% 4% 12% 19% 28% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 9% 13% 23% 43% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)

vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)

1 Game Remaining
13 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game <1% 7% 10% 17% 23% 34% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 9% 13% 25% 41% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)

vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)

1 Game Remaining
12 Harvard Sweeps 1 Game <1% 5% 11% 16% 24% 31% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union Sweeps 1 Game <1% 3% 9% 13% 24% 46% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(12‑11‑2)

vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)

1 Game Remaining
2 Brown Sweeps 1 Game <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 38% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game <1% 4% 9% 14% 25% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)

vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)

1 Game Remaining
1 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X 3% 10% 14% 25% 38% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale Sweeps 1 Game <1% 4% 9% 14% 24% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^


Cornell Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Cornell Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 11 12
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)

vs
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
65 Cornell Wins <1% 7% 17% 20% 25% 28% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Clarkson Wins X X <1% 8% 25% 51% 14% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)

vs
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
18 Rensselaer Wins <1% 4% 12% 19% 28% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Dartmouth Wins <1% 3% 9% 13% 23% 43% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)

vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)
13 St. Lawrence Wins <1% 7% 10% 17% 23% 34% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Colgate Wins <1% 3% 9% 13% 25% 41% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)

vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)
12 Harvard Wins <1% 5% 11% 16% 24% 31% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Union Wins <1% 3% 9% 13% 24% 46% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Brown
(12‑11‑2)

vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)
2 Brown Wins <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 38% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Princeton Wins <1% 4% 9% 14% 25% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)

vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)
1 Quinnipiac Wins X 3% 10% 14% 25% 38% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 4% 10% 14% 25% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Yale Wins <1% 4% 9% 14% 24% 39% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament