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Mon Feb 17 7:15 pm

ECAC Hockey - Week 21 of 22

Harvard Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Harvard Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Harvard Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 7 Harvard Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 2% 8% 21% 46% 19% 3% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Union Sweeps 1 Game X X X X 1% 6% 45% 35% 10% 4% <1% <1%
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
vs
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 6% 15% 41% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Cornell Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 3% 11% 48% 28% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)
vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 1 Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 28% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Yale Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 45% 25% 7% 4% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)
vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)
1 Game Remaining		 1 St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Colgate Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 45% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 3% 12% 47% 29% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 2% 6% 17% 38% 24% 10% 4% <1% <1%
Brown
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)
1 Game Remaining		 0 Brown Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 36% 37% 8% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Princeton Sweeps 1 Game X X <1% 1% 4% 14% 53% 17% 6% 3% <1% <1%


Harvard Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Harvard Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3*
First Round Bye
 4*
First Round Bye
 5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10 11 12
Harvard
(9‑14‑2)
vs
Union
(17‑10‑3)		 7 Harvard Wins X X <1% 2% 8% 21% 46% 19% 3% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Union Wins X X X X 1% 6% 45% 35% 10% 4% <1% <1%
Clarkson
(18‑9‑3)
vs
Cornell
(11‑8‑6)		 1 Clarkson Wins X X <1% 1% 6% 15% 41% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Cornell Wins X X <1% 1% 3% 11% 48% 28% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Quinnipiac
(19‑9‑2)
vs
Yale
(6‑17‑2)		 1 Quinnipiac Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 28% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Yale Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 45% 25% 7% 4% 1% <1%
St. Lawrence
(9‑19‑2)
vs
Colgate
(15‑12‑3)		 1 St. Lawrence Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Colgate Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 45% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Dartmouth
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Rensselaer
(11‑17‑2)		 0 Dartmouth Wins X X <1% 1% 3% 12% 47% 29% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Rensselaer Wins X X <1% 2% 6% 17% 38% 24% 10% 4% <1% <1%
Brown
(12‑11‑2)
vs
Princeton
(10‑13‑2)		 0 Brown Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 36% 37% 8% 2% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X X <1% 1% 4% 13% 44% 27% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Princeton Wins X X <1% 1% 4% 14% 53% 17% 6% 3% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament