The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (1‑1) vs Brown (0‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
13 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence (0‑4) vs Rensselaer (4‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Clarkson (3‑4‑1) vs Union (5‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Union Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Colgate (1‑7) vs Princeton (2‑0) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Cornell (1‑1) vs Quinnipiac (5‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Yale (1‑0) vs Dartmouth (2‑0) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (1‑1) vs Brown (0‑1) |
13 | Harvard Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Brown Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence (0‑4) vs Rensselaer (4‑4) |
2 | St. Lawrence Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Rensselaer Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Clarkson (3‑4‑1) vs Union (5‑2) |
2 | Clarkson Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Union Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Colgate (1‑7) vs Princeton (2‑0) |
1 | Colgate Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Princeton Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Cornell (1‑1) vs Quinnipiac (5‑2) |
0 | Cornell Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Yale (1‑0) vs Dartmouth (2‑0) |
0 | Yale Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Dartmouth Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||