The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (5‑7‑2) vs Rensselaer (9‑10‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
24 | Harvard Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Princeton (6‑8‑1) vs Cornell (6‑5‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
3 | Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Cornell Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Brown (4‑9‑2) vs St. Lawrence (6‑13‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brown Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Clarkson (12‑6‑2) vs Yale (4‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Colgate (10‑8‑2) vs Quinnipiac (13‑7‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Colgate Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Dartmouth (8‑6‑2) vs Union (12‑8‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Dartmouth Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Union Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Harvard (5‑7‑2) vs Rensselaer (9‑10‑2) |
24 | Harvard Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Rensselaer Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Princeton (6‑8‑1) vs Cornell (6‑5‑4) |
3 | Princeton Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Cornell Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Brown (4‑9‑2) vs St. Lawrence (6‑13‑1) |
1 | Brown Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| St. Lawrence Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Clarkson (12‑6‑2) vs Yale (4‑10‑1) |
0 | Clarkson Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Yale Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Colgate (10‑8‑2) vs Quinnipiac (13‑7‑1) |
0 | Colgate Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Dartmouth (8‑6‑2) vs Union (12‑8‑1) |
0 | Dartmouth Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||