The Most Important Games for the Harvard Crimson are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Harvard Crimson fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Rensselaer (5‑15) vs Quinnipiac (15‑4‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
5 | Rensselaer Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Union (12‑6‑2) vs Princeton (11‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Union Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson (10‑11) vs Yale (5‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Clarkson Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑17‑2) vs Brown (3‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | St. Lawrence Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brown Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Harvard Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Rensselaer (5‑15) vs Quinnipiac (15‑4‑2) |
5 | Rensselaer Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Union (12‑6‑2) vs Princeton (11‑4) |
4 | Union Wins | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Princeton Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clarkson (10‑11) vs Yale (5‑10) |
1 | Clarkson Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yale Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Lawrence (2‑17‑2) vs Brown (3‑13) |
0 | St. Lawrence Wins | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brown Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||