The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Aston Villa (13‑8‑9) vs Nottingham (17‑7‑6) |
11 | Aston Villa Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Nottingham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Brentford (12‑13‑5) vs Chelsea (14‑8‑7) |
3 | Brentford Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Chelsea Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (10‑15‑4) vs Chelsea (14‑8‑7) |
2 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Chelsea Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Manchester United (10‑13‑7) vs Manchester City (15‑9‑6) |
2 | Manchester United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Manchester City Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Crystal Palace (10‑9‑10) vs Brighton (12‑7‑11) |
1 | Crystal Palace Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Brighton Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| West Ham (9‑14‑7) vs BournemouthBournemoth (12‑10‑8) |
1 | West Ham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Liverpool (22‑1‑7) vs Fulham (12‑9‑9) |
1 | Liverpool Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Fulham Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arsenal (17‑3‑10) vs Everton (7‑10‑13) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Everton Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (10‑15‑4) vs SouthamptonSouthamptn (2‑24‑4) |
0 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (8‑17‑5) vs Ipswich Town (4‑18‑8) |
0 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ipswich Town Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||