The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 12 | 8 | 9 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 9 | 9 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Aston Villa beats Brighton Aston Villa beats Nottingham |
Worst Case Scenario Brighton beats Aston Villa Nottingham beats Aston Villa |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
9 of 9 | 100% | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | <1% | 3% | 63% | 32% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69 | X | <1% | 22% | 56% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 19 | 10 | 9 | 66 | X | <1% | 2% | 24% | 43% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 18 | 11 | 9 | 63 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 41% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 42% | 35% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
3 of 9 | 33% | 15 | 14 | 9 | 54 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 38% | 39% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
2 of 9 | 22% | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 41% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
1 of 9 | 11% | 13 | 16 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 42% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 9 | 0% | 12 | 17 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 43% | 37% | 8% | <1% | ^ |