The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Chelsea (13‑13‑10) vs Sunderland (13‑12‑12) |
11 | Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 34% | 43% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sunderland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 28% | 31% | 18% | 15% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chelsea (13‑13‑10) vs Tottenham Hotspur (9‑16‑11) |
7 | Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 24% | 29% | 24% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 17% | 5% | 23% | 23% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester United (19‑7‑11) vs Brighton (14‑12‑11) |
7 | Manchester United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 28% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brighton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 36% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nottingham (11‑16‑10) vs BournemouthBournemoth (13‑7‑16) |
3 | Nottingham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 15% | 27% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City (23‑5‑8) vs BournemouthBournemoth (13‑7‑16) |
2 | Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 14% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Liverpool (17‑12‑8) vs Brentford (14‑13‑10) |
1 | Liverpool Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 17% | 31% | 20% | 3% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brentford Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 11% | 12% | 25% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leeds United (11‑12‑14) vs West Ham (9‑19‑9) |
0 | Leeds United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| West Ham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Newcastle (14‑16‑7) vs Fulham (14‑16‑7) |
0 | Newcastle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fulham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (9‑16‑11) vs Everton (13‑14‑10) |
0 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Everton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 20% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arsenal (24‑5‑7) vs Burnley (4‑23‑9) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Burnley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Burnley (4‑23‑9) vs WolverhamptonWolves (3‑24‑10) |
0 | Burnley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crystal Palace (11‑14‑12) vs Arsenal (24‑5‑7) |
0 | Crystal Palace Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City (23‑5‑8) vs Aston Villa (18‑11‑8) |
0 | Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||