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Mon Jan 6 5:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 23 of 41

Chelsea Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Chelsea Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Chelsea Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)
vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)		 36 Chelsea Wins 2% 13% 24% 23% 17% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins 1% 7% 17% 19% 19% 15% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea
(10‑4‑6)
vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)		 31 Chelsea Wins 1% 12% 23% 22% 17% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins 1% 6% 16% 20% 19% 15% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(4‑12‑4)
vs
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)		 7 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 1% 11% 23% 22% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 1% 10% 20% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 6 SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins 1% 12% 24% 21% 16% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)
vs
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)		 5 Ipswich Town Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 18% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)
vs
Nottingham
(12‑4‑4)		 5 Liverpool Wins 1% 11% 23% 21% 17% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 2% 10% 19% 22% 19% 13% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Manchester City
(10‑6‑4)		 3 Brentford Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 17% 11% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 10% 21% 21% 18% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(9‑5‑6)
vs
Newcastle
(10‑5‑5)		 3 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 1% 11% 23% 21% 16% 11% 7% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)
vs
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)		 3 Aston Villa Wins 1% 14% 21% 20% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 1% 10% 22% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(3‑8‑8)
vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)		 2 Everton Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 1% 11% 21% 21% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)
vs
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)		 2 Leicester City Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Fulham
(7‑4‑9)		 2 West Ham Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham Wins 1% 11% 21% 21% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)
vs
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(1‑16‑3)		 1 Manchester United Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins 1% 10% 21% 22% 17% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(8‑9‑3)
vs
Liverpool
(14‑1‑4)		 1 Brentford Wins 2% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)		 1 West Ham Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 17% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(6‑9‑5)
vs
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)		 1 Manchester United Wins 1% 11% 22% 22% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(3‑8‑8)
vs
Aston Villa
(9‑6‑5)		 1 Everton Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 1% 11% 21% 21% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑10‑3)
vs
Arsenal
(11‑2‑7)		 1 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 1% 13% 20% 20% 17% 12% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 1% 10% 22% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ipswich Town
(3‑10‑7)
vs
Brighton
(6‑4‑10)		 1 Ipswich Town Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 1% 11% 21% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑9)
vs
Leicester City
(3‑12‑5)		 0 Crystal Palace Wins 1% 10% 22% 22% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 11% 21% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City Wins 1% 11% 22% 21% 17% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round