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Mon Sep 15 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 6 of 41

Barcelona What If?

The Barcelona What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Barcelona What If?

Next Game - Getafe (3‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 4 0 1 13 53% 17% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 3 0 1 10 52% 16% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 3 1 1 10 48% 17% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 53% 17% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 52% 16% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 48% 17% 10% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Barcelona beats Getafe
 Worst Case Scenario
   Getafe beats Barcelona
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 37 0 1 112 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 33 4 1 100 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 32 5 1 97 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 31 6 1 94 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 30 7 1 91 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 29 8 1 88 57% 37% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 28 9 1 85 38% 45% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 27 10 1 82 22% 44% 27% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 26 11 1 79 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 25 12 1 76 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 24 13 1 73 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 23 14 1 70 <1% 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 34 53% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 34 50% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 28% 30% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 34 47% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 14% 27% 30% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 26% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 32% 20% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 34 32% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1% <1%
10 of 34 29% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 34% 20% 5% 1%
9 of 34 26% 12 25 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
8 of 34 24% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 34% 34% 16%
7 of 34 21% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 39% 39%
6 of 34 18% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 27% 66%
5 of 34 15% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
0 of 34 0% 3 34 1 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round