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Mon Sep 15 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 6 of 41

Elche What If?

The Elche What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Elche What If?

Next Game - Real Oviedo (1‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 0 3 9 3% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Current Standings 1 0 3 6 3% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4%
Lose Next Game 1 1 3 6 2% 5% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 3% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Current Standings 3% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 5% 7% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5%
Best Case Scenario
   Elche beats Real Oviedo
 Worst Case Scenario
   Real Oviedo beats Elche
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 35 0 3 108 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 34 94% 33 2 3 102 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 32 3 3 99 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 31 4 3 96 74% 25% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 30 5 3 93 59% 38% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 29 6 3 90 43% 49% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 28 7 3 87 28% 52% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 27 8 3 84 15% 47% 31% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 26 9 3 81 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 25 10 3 78 2% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 24 11 3 75 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 23 12 3 72 <1% 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 22 13 3 69 <1% <1% 5% 19% 34% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 21 14 3 66 <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 20 15 3 63 <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 24% 31% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 19 16 3 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 23% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 18 17 3 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 23% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 17 18 3 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 23% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 16 19 3 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 15 20 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 22% 33% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 14 21 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 13 22 3 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1% <1%
11 of 34 32% 12 23 3 39 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
10 of 34 29% 11 24 3 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5%
9 of 34 26% 10 25 3 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 32% 37% 19%
8 of 34 24% 9 26 3 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 38% 44%
7 of 34 21% 8 27 3 27 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 72%
6 of 34 18% 7 28 3 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
5 of 34 15% 6 29 3 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
0 of 34 0% 1 34 3 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round