Where are the UMass Minutemen going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMass standings table presents the probabilities of the Minutemen winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Miami OH | 6i Miami OH Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Akron 76-73 Won Tue, Jan 06 vs Western Michigan 87-76 Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Toledo 87-73 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Central Michigan 100-61 Sat, Jan 17 vs Buffalo Tue, Jan 20 @ Kent State Tue, Jan 27 vs UMass Sat, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois |
0 | 6 | 62% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Toledo | 4 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Central Michigan 78-75 Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Northern Illinois 75-61 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Miami OH 73-87 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Ohio 101-85 Fri, Jan 16 @ Kent State Tue, Jan 20 @ UMass Sat, Jan 24 vs Bowling Green Tue, Jan 27 @ Akron |
1 | 5 | 3% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 9% |
| Kent State | 4 Kent State Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Northern Illinois 77-73 Won Tue, Jan 06 vs Bowling Green 96-93 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Central Michigan 85-87 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Buffalo 87-81 Fri, Jan 16 vs Toledo Tue, Jan 20 vs Miami OH Sat, Jan 24 @ Eastern Michigan Tue, Jan 27 vs Ohio |
1 | 5 | 12% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Akron | 4 Akron Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Miami OH 73-76 Won Tue, Jan 06 vs Central Michigan 82-69 Won Fri, Jan 09 @ Bowling Green 77-67 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Ball State 87-77 Sat, Jan 17 vs Western Michigan Tue, Jan 20 @ Buffalo Fri, Jan 23 @ Ohio Tue, Jan 27 vs Toledo |
1 | 5 | 14% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Ohio | 4 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 03 @ Eastern Michigan 68-67 Won Tue, Jan 06 vs UMass 86-83 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Buffalo 91-80 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Toledo 85-101 Fri, Jan 16 @ Ball State Tue, Jan 20 vs Northern Illinois Fri, Jan 23 vs Akron Tue, Jan 27 @ Kent State |
2 | 6 | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 9% | 9% |
| Buffalo | 3 Buffalo Recent Games Won Wed, Dec 31 @ Northern Illinois 81-67 Won Sat, Jan 03 vs Ball State 85-72 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Ohio 80-91 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Kent State 81-87 Sat, Jan 17 @ Miami OH Tue, Jan 20 vs Akron Fri, Jan 23 vs UMass Tue, Jan 27 @ Bowling Green |
2 | 5 | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 9% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Ohio 67-68 Won Tue, Jan 06 @ Ball State 74-52 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Western Michigan 62-79 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Northern Illinois 77-59 Sat, Jan 17 @ Bowling Green Sat, Jan 24 vs Kent State Tue, Jan 27 @ Central Michigan Sat, Jan 31 @ UMass |
3 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% |
| Bowling Green | 2 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 30 vs Miami OH 83-93 Won Sat, Jan 03 @ UMass 101-100 Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Kent State 93-96 Lost Fri, Jan 09 vs Akron 67-77 Sat, Jan 17 vs Eastern Michigan Tue, Jan 20 @ Western Michigan Sat, Jan 24 @ Toledo Tue, Jan 27 vs Buffalo |
3 | 5 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 22% |
| UMass | 2 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Bowling Green 100-101 Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Ohio 83-86 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Ball State 79-71 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Western Michigan 85-82 Sat, Jan 17 @ Northern Illinois Tue, Jan 20 vs Toledo Fri, Jan 23 @ Buffalo Tue, Jan 27 @ Miami OH |
4 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% |
| Western Michigan | 1 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Dec 30 @ Toledo 79-84 Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Miami OH 76-87 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Eastern Michigan 79-62 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs UMass 82-85 Sat, Jan 17 @ Akron Tue, Jan 20 vs Bowling Green Sat, Jan 24 vs Central Michigan Tue, Jan 27 @ Northern Illinois |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 80% |
| Northern Illinois | 1 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 31 vs Buffalo 67-81 Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Kent State 73-77 Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs Toledo 61-75 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Eastern Michigan 59-77 Sat, Jan 17 vs UMass Tue, Jan 20 @ Ohio Sat, Jan 24 @ Ball State Tue, Jan 27 vs Western Michigan |
4 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Central Michigan | 1 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 vs Toledo 75-78 Lost Tue, Jan 06 @ Akron 69-82 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Kent State 87-85 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Miami OH 61-100 Tue, Jan 20 vs Ball State Sat, Jan 24 @ Western Michigan Tue, Jan 27 vs Eastern Michigan Sat, Jan 31 vs Bowling Green |
5 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 88% |
| Ball State | 0 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 03 @ Buffalo 72-85 Lost Tue, Jan 06 vs Eastern Michigan 52-74 Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ UMass 71-79 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Akron 77-87 Fri, Jan 16 vs Ohio Tue, Jan 20 @ Central Michigan Sat, Jan 24 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Jan 31 @ Toledo |
5 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Miami OH | 6 | 0 | 15% |
| (4)Akron | 4 | 1 | 11% |
| (3)Kent State | 4 | 1 | 9% |
| (2)Toledo | 4 | 1 | 6% |
| (6)Buffalo | 3 | 2 | 5% |
| (5)Ohio | 4 | 2 | 5% |
| (8)Bowling Green | 2 | 3 | 3% |
| (7)Eastern Michigan | 3 | 3 | 1% |
| (10)Western Michigan | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (11)Northern Illinois | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (12)Central Michigan | 1 | 5 | <1% |
| (13)Ball State | 0 | 5 | <1% |
| Elimination | 45% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kent State (13‑5) |
59‑69 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (9‑9) |
74‑80 | Away | Tue Dec 30, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Bowling Green (11‑6) |
100‑101 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Ohio (10‑8) |
83‑86 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Ball State (4‑13) |
79‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Western Michigan (7‑10) |
85‑82 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (5‑10) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm | |
| 12 | Toledo (10‑7) |
Home | Tue Jan 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 12 | Buffalo (13‑4) |
Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Miami OH (18‑0) |
Away | Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Eastern Michigan (9‑9) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Central Michigan (5‑13) |
Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Akron (13‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Miami OH (18‑0) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Buffalo (13‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ball State (4‑13) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bowling Green (11‑6) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 2:00 pm | |
| 18 | Ohio (10‑8) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marshall (11‑6) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 72‑78 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Albany (6‑12) |
America EastAmerica East | 83‑62 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Le Moyne (7‑10) |
NortheastNorth East | 94‑80 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | Central Conn. (9‑6) |
NortheastNorth East | 84‑77 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Charleston (11‑6) |
CoastalCoastal | 65‑69 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 3:00 pm |
| 3 | Green Bay (10‑8) |
HorizonHorizon | 75‑79 | Home | Sat Nov 22 |
| 4 | Oregon St. (9‑10) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑65 | Away | Mon Nov 24 |
| 5 | Harvard (8‑8) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 78‑71 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (8‑10) |
America EastAmerica East | 80‑60 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Boston College (7‑9) |
ACCACC | 76‑74 | Away | Wed Dec 10, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Florida St. (7‑9) |
ACCACC | 103‑95 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Massachusetts-Boston | ‑‑ | 91‑40 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 12:00 pm |