PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Dec 1 10:15 pm

MAC Basketball - Week 5 of 18

UMass Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UMass Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UMass Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NT
UMass
(4‑3)

vs
Kent State
(7‑2)
11 UMass Wins 4% 6% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 34%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Kent State Wins 2% 3% 5% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 46%
Bowling Green
(6‑2)

vs
Ohio
(1‑6)
1 Bowling Green Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Ohio Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 42%
Miami OH
(6‑0)

vs
Ball State
(3‑5)
0 Miami OH Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Ball State Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 41%
Akron
(6‑2)

vs
Eastern Michigan
(5‑3)
0 Akron Wins 3% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Eastern Michigan Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 40%
Buffalo
(8‑0)

vs
Western Michigan
(3‑5)
0 Buffalo Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 41%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Western Michigan Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 41%
Central Michigan
(3‑4)

vs
Northern Illinois
(3‑4)
0 Central Michigan Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Current Probabilities 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 40%
Northern Illinois Wins 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 9% 40%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot