The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (9‑4) vs Eastern Michigan (6‑7) |
10 | UMass Wins | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 29% | ||
| Buffalo (11‑2) vs Northern Illinois (5‑6) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 25% | ||
| Ohio (6‑7) vs Central Michigan (4‑9) |
0 | Ohio Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Toledo (6‑6) vs Western Michigan (6‑7) |
0 | Toledo Wins | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Miami OH (13‑0) vs Bowling Green (10‑3) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 24% | ||