The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (15‑14) vs Bowling Green (16‑13) |
23 | UMass Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 25% | 40% | 33% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 14% | 61% | 25% | ||
| Buffalo (16‑12) vs Central Michigan (9‑19) |
10 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 23% | 56% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 20% | 35% | 23% | 23% | ||
| Northern Illinois (9‑18) vs Ball State (9‑19) |
2 | Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 26% | 48% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Ball State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 24% | 48% | 16% | ||
| Miami OH (28‑0) vs Western Michigan (10‑18) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Kent State (21‑7) vs Akron (23‑5) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Ohio (15‑13) vs Toledo (15‑13) |
0 | Ohio Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||
| Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 12% | 25% | 48% | 15% | ||