The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (0‑0) vs Eastern Michigan (0‑0) |
23 | UMass Wins | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 35% | ||
| Western Michigan (0‑0) vs Buffalo (0‑0) |
5 | Western Michigan Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Central Michigan (0‑0) vs Miami OH (0‑0) |
2 | Central Michigan Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Akron (0‑0) vs Ball State (0‑0) |
2 | Akron Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Kent State (0‑0) vs Bowling Green (0‑0) |
2 | Kent State Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Ohio (0‑0) vs Toledo (0‑0) |
1 | Ohio Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Toledo Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 33% | ||