The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass (11‑7) vs Northern Illinois (5‑10) |
18 | UMass Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 57% | ||
| Bowling Green (11‑6) vs Eastern Michigan (9‑9) |
2 | Bowling Green Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 47% | ||
| Akron (13‑4) vs Western Michigan (7‑10) |
1 | Akron Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 47% | ||
| Miami OH (18‑0) vs Buffalo (13‑4) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 46% | ||
| Kent State (13‑5) vs Toledo (10‑7) |
1 | Kent State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Toledo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 46% | ||
| Ball State (4‑13) vs Ohio (10‑8) |
0 | Ball State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 46% | ||