The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (11‑7) vs Cardinals (9‑9) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Mets Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 4 Games | 10% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Mariners (9‑9) vs Reds (9‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Twins (7‑12) vs Braves (5‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Padres (15‑4) vs Astros (8‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (11‑7) vs Marlins (8‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Nationals (7‑11) vs Pirates (7‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Phillies (10‑8) vs Giants (13‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (9‑9) vs Reds (9‑9) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Reds Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (11‑7) vs Marlins (8‑9) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Astros (8‑10) vs Padres (15‑4) |
0 | Astros Wins | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Padres Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Nationals (7‑11) vs Pirates (7‑12) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 9% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Twins (7‑12) vs Braves (5‑13) |
0 | Twins Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Braves Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Phillies (10‑8) vs Giants (13‑5) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Giants Wins | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Mets (11‑7) vs Cardinals (9‑9) |
0 | Mets Wins | 10% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 10% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 45% | ||