The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (16‑9) vs Red Sox (14‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
13 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 9% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Yankees (17‑9) vs Brewers (16‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 9% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Rangers (13‑13) vs Reds (14‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Giants (12‑14) vs Pirates (13‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 44% | ||
| Rockies (7‑19) vs Astros (7‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑14) vs Mariners (13‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑11) vs Blue Jays (13‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Marlins (6‑20) vs Nationals (10‑14) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 4 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 4 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Padres (14‑14) vs Phillies (16‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Cardinals (11‑14) vs Mets (13‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 10% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Braves (17‑6) vs Guardians (18‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (16‑9) vs Red Sox (14‑12) |
4 | Cubs Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 10% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Yankees (17‑9) vs Brewers (16‑8) |
2 | Yankees Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Padres (14‑14) vs Phillies (16‑10) |
1 | Padres Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Giants (12‑14) vs Pirates (13‑13) |
1 | Giants Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 10% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Reds (14‑11) vs Rangers (13‑13) |
1 | Reds Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Mariners (13‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑14) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 45% | ||
| Astros (7‑19) vs Rockies (7‑19) |
1 | Astros Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Mets (13‑11) vs Cardinals (11‑14) |
1 | Mets Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑13) vs Dodgers (16‑11) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 11% | 9% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Braves (17‑6) vs Guardians (18‑7) |
0 | Braves Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 11% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Marlins (6‑20) vs Nationals (10‑14) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 45% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 11% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 45% | ||