The Most Important Games for the Cubs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cubs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Cubs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (14‑10) vs Dodgers (16‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 15% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 43% | ||
| Giants (14‑8) vs Brewers (12‑10) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Giants Sweeps 4 Games | 11% | 17% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 4 Games | 12% | 15% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Angels (11‑10) vs Pirates (8‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Marlins (9‑12) vs Reds (11‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 15% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Rays (9‑13) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Royals (9‑14) vs Rockies (4‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Mets (15‑7) vs Phillies (13‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 16% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑13) vs Braves (8‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Tigers (13‑9) vs Padres (16‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 12% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 17% | 14% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Cubs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Cubs (14‑10) vs Dodgers (16‑7) |
5 | Cubs Wins | 12% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 10% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 42% | ||
| Tigers (13‑9) vs Padres (16‑6) |
3 | Tigers Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Padres Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 42% | ||
| Phillies (13‑9) vs Mets (15‑7) |
3 | Phillies Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Mets Wins | 11% | 15% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Braves (8‑13) vs Cardinals (9‑13) |
2 | Braves Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Rays (9‑13) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) |
2 | Rays Wins | 11% | 17% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Pirates (8‑15) vs Angels (11‑10) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 11% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Angels Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Giants (14‑8) vs Brewers (12‑10) |
1 | Giants Wins | 12% | 16% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 12% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Reds (11‑11) vs Marlins (9‑12) |
1 | Reds Wins | 11% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Royals (9‑14) vs Rockies (4‑17) |
0 | Royals Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Nationals (9‑13) vs Orioles (9‑12) |
0 | Nationals Wins | 11% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 11% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 41% | ||