The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (57‑62) vs Twins (59‑61) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Angels (45‑74) vs Rangers (60‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Reds (56‑61) vs White Sox (61‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Giants (49‑70) vs Astros (61‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Royals (49‑71) vs Dodgers (71‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Tigers (58‑60) vs Guardians (58‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Blue Jays (57‑63) vs Red Sox (64‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Rays (72‑46) vs Athletics (47‑72) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Yankees (66‑52) vs Mariners (56‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (57‑62) vs Twins (59‑61) |
4 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 95% | ||
| Red Sox (64‑54) vs Blue Jays (57‑63) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Angels (45‑74) vs Rangers (60‑59) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Giants (49‑70) vs Astros (61‑59) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| White Sox (61‑56) vs Reds (56‑61) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Royals (49‑71) vs Dodgers (71‑48) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Guardians (58‑61) vs Tigers (58‑60) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Rays (72‑46) vs Athletics (47‑72) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Yankees (66‑52) vs Mariners (56‑63) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 93% | ||