The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (15‑8) vs Angels (10‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Athletics (9‑15) vs Yankees (16‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Guardians (17‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 18% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Rangers (12‑12) vs Mariners (12‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| White Sox (3‑20) vs Twins (9‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑11) vs Royals (14‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Astros (7‑17) vs Cubs (14‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (15‑8) vs Angels (10‑14) |
4 | Orioles Wins | 18% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Angels Wins | 16% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Astros (7‑17) vs Cubs (14‑9) |
2 | Astros Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 38% | ||
| Royals (14‑10) vs Blue Jays (13‑11) |
1 | Royals Wins | 17% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Rangers (12‑12) vs Mariners (12‑11) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Athletics (9‑15) vs Yankees (16‑8) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 18% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Twins (9‑13) vs White Sox (3‑20) |
1 | Twins Wins | 17% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) |
1 | Rays Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 17% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% | ||
| Guardians (17‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑11) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 37% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 17% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 37% | ||