The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 10% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
Orioles Sweeps | 3 | 0 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 9% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
Angels Sweeps | 1 | 2 | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
161 of 161 | 100% | 162 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
160 of 161 | 99% | 161 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
150 of 161 | 93% | 151 | 11 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
140 of 161 | 87% | 141 | 21 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
138 of 161 | 86% | 139 | 23 | 95% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
137 of 161 | 85% | 138 | 24 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
136 of 161 | 84% | 137 | 25 | 91% | 8% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
135 of 161 | 84% | 136 | 26 | 87% | 11% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
134 of 161 | 83% | 135 | 27 | 85% | 13% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
133 of 161 | 83% | 134 | 28 | 79% | 17% | 1% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
132 of 161 | 82% | 133 | 29 | 74% | 20% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
131 of 161 | 81% | 132 | 30 | 69% | 24% | 2% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
130 of 161 | 81% | 131 | 31 | 63% | 27% | 3% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
129 of 161 | 80% | 130 | 32 | 56% | 31% | 4% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
128 of 161 | 80% | 129 | 33 | 50% | 34% | 5% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
127 of 161 | 79% | 128 | 34 | 45% | 35% | 6% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
126 of 161 | 78% | 127 | 35 | 38% | 37% | 8% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
125 of 161 | 78% | 126 | 36 | 32% | 38% | 9% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
124 of 161 | 77% | 125 | 37 | 27% | 38% | 12% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
123 of 161 | 76% | 124 | 38 | 22% | 37% | 14% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
122 of 161 | 76% | 123 | 39 | 17% | 37% | 16% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
121 of 161 | 75% | 122 | 40 | 14% | 35% | 17% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
120 of 161 | 75% | 121 | 41 | 11% | 31% | 19% | 30% | 8% | <1% | <1% |
119 of 161 | 74% | 120 | 42 | 9% | 30% | 20% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
118 of 161 | 73% | 119 | 43 | 6% | 27% | 22% | 31% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
117 of 161 | 73% | 118 | 44 | 5% | 24% | 23% | 31% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
116 of 161 | 72% | 117 | 45 | 4% | 21% | 23% | 32% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
115 of 161 | 71% | 116 | 46 | 2% | 20% | 23% | 31% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
114 of 161 | 71% | 115 | 47 | 2% | 17% | 24% | 29% | 23% | 5% | <1% |
113 of 161 | 70% | 114 | 48 | 1% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 1% |
112 of 161 | 70% | 113 | 49 | 1% | 12% | 24% | 26% | 28% | 8% | 1% |
111 of 161 | 69% | 112 | 50 | 1% | 10% | 24% | 24% | 29% | 11% | 1% |
110 of 161 | 68% | 111 | 51 | <1% | 9% | 23% | 22% | 30% | 12% | 2% |
109 of 161 | 68% | 110 | 52 | <1% | 8% | 22% | 20% | 32% | 14% | 3% |
108 of 161 | 67% | 109 | 53 | <1% | 7% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 18% | 4% |
107 of 161 | 66% | 108 | 54 | <1% | 5% | 20% | 16% | 32% | 20% | 6% |
106 of 161 | 66% | 107 | 55 | <1% | 5% | 20% | 14% | 32% | 22% | 7% |
105 of 161 | 65% | 106 | 56 | <1% | 4% | 19% | 14% | 30% | 24% | 10% |
104 of 161 | 65% | 105 | 57 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 11% | 30% | 27% | 12% |
103 of 161 | 64% | 104 | 58 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 10% | 28% | 28% | 14% |
102 of 161 | 63% | 103 | 59 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 27% | 30% | 17% |
101 of 161 | 63% | 102 | 60 | <1% | 2% | 15% | 7% | 25% | 30% | 21% |
100 of 161 | 62% | 101 | 61 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 23% | 32% | 24% |
99 of 161 | 61% | 100 | 62 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 5% | 22% | 31% | 27% |
98 of 161 | 61% | 99 | 63 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 20% | 31% | 31% |
97 of 161 | 60% | 98 | 64 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 4% | 19% | 30% | 34% |
96 of 161 | 60% | 97 | 65 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 3% | 17% | 31% | 38% |
95 of 161 | 59% | 96 | 66 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 43% |
94 of 161 | 58% | 95 | 67 | <1% | <1% | 10% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 46% |
93 of 161 | 58% | 94 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 9% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 51% |
92 of 161 | 57% | 93 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 53% |
91 of 161 | 57% | 92 | 70 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 57% |
90 of 161 | 56% | 91 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 62% |
89 of 161 | 55% | 90 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 65% |
88 of 161 | 55% | 89 | 73 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 67% |
87 of 161 | 54% | 88 | 74 | <1% | <1% | 6% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 71% |
86 of 161 | 53% | 87 | 75 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 74% |
85 of 161 | 53% | 86 | 76 | <1% | <1% | 5% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 77% |
84 of 161 | 52% | 85 | 77 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 79% |
83 of 161 | 52% | 84 | 78 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 82% |
82 of 161 | 51% | 83 | 79 | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 83% |
81 of 161 | 50% | 82 | 80 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 87% |
80 of 161 | 50% | 81 | 81 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 88% |
79 of 161 | 49% | 80 | 82 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 89% |
78 of 161 | 48% | 79 | 83 | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 91% |
77 of 161 | 48% | 78 | 84 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 92% |
76 of 161 | 47% | 77 | 85 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 94% |
75 of 161 | 47% | 76 | 86 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 95% |
74 of 161 | 46% | 75 | 87 | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 95% |
70 of 161 | 43% | 71 | 91 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
60 of 161 | 37% | 61 | 101 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
50 of 161 | 31% | 51 | 111 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
40 of 161 | 25% | 41 | 121 | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
30 of 161 | 19% | 31 | 131 | X | X | <1% | X | X | X | >99% |
20 of 161 | 12% | 21 | 141 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
10 of 161 | 6% | 11 | 151 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 161 | 0% | 1 | 161 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |