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Sun May 25 3:30 am

MLB - Week 10 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (27‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 18 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
Current Standings 17 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Lose Next Game 17 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%


Current Series - Red Sox (27‑27) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 18 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
Current Standings 17 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Red Sox Sweeps 17 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
111 of 111 100% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 111 99% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 111 90% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
92 of 111 83% 109 53 93% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
91 of 111 82% 108 54 91% 9% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 111 81% 107 55 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
89 of 111 80% 106 56 84% 14% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
88 of 111 79% 105 57 78% 19% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
87 of 111 78% 104 58 71% 25% <1% 3% <1% ^ ^
86 of 111 77% 103 59 65% 29% 1% 5% <1% ^ ^
85 of 111 77% 102 60 57% 35% 1% 6% <1% ^ ^
84 of 111 76% 101 61 49% 40% 2% 9% <1% ^ ^
83 of 111 75% 100 62 40% 45% 4% 11% 1% <1% ^
82 of 111 74% 99 63 33% 47% 6% 13% 1% <1% ^
81 of 111 73% 98 64 26% 48% 8% 16% 2% <1% <1%
80 of 111 72% 97 65 19% 48% 11% 19% 4% <1% <1%
79 of 111 71% 96 66 13% 46% 14% 21% 6% 1% <1%
78 of 111 70% 95 67 8% 43% 17% 22% 9% 1% <1%
77 of 111 69% 94 68 5% 37% 20% 23% 12% 2% <1%
76 of 111 68% 93 69 3% 30% 23% 23% 16% 4% <1%
75 of 111 68% 92 70 2% 24% 24% 21% 20% 8% 1%
74 of 111 67% 91 71 1% 18% 24% 19% 24% 11% 2%
73 of 111 66% 90 72 <1% 13% 24% 15% 26% 17% 5%
72 of 111 65% 89 73 <1% 8% 22% 12% 27% 22% 9%
71 of 111 64% 88 74 <1% 5% 20% 8% 25% 27% 16%
70 of 111 63% 87 75 <1% 3% 16% 5% 20% 30% 25%
69 of 111 62% 86 76 <1% 1% 13% 3% 16% 30% 37%
68 of 111 61% 85 77 <1% 1% 10% 1% 10% 27% 51%
67 of 111 60% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% 1% 6% 21% 66%
66 of 111 59% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 15% 78%
65 of 111 59% 82 80 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 9% 87%
64 of 111 58% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 5% 93%
60 of 111 54% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 111 45% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 111 36% 57 105 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 111 27% 47 115 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 111 18% 37 125 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 111 9% 27 135 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 111 0% 17 145 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs