The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 6 | 9 | 48 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 6 | 9 | 45 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 7 | 9 | 45 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 28% | 19% | 11% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 5% | 1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 31% | 20% | 12% |
Best Case Scenario D.C. United beats NY City FC Crew beats Red Bulls Revolution beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats D.C. United Red Bulls beats Crew Charlotte FC beats Revolution |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 19 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 41% | 46% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 5% | 27% | 44% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
4 of 7 | 57% | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 41% | 29% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 7 | 43% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 36% | 47% | 8% | <1% |
2 of 7 | 29% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 39% | 45% | 12% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 35% | 61% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 97% |