The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 29% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
Current Standings | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
Best Case Scenario Crew beats NY City FC St. Louis City SC beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Crew Nashville SC beats St. Louis City SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 70% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 20 | 6 | 8 | 68 | 32% | 45% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | 6% | 28% | 42% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | <1% | 5% | 25% | 45% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 55% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 33% | 43% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 40% | 26% | 5% | <1% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 39% | 36% | 9% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 41% | 50% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 91% |