The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 9% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 10% |
Current Standings | 8% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 17% |
Best Case Scenario Crew beats CF Montréal Sounders beats D.C. United |
Worst Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Crew D.C. United beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
25 of 25 | 100% | 28 | 1 | 5 | 89 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 25 | 88% | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 25 | 84% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 25 | 80% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 72% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 25 | 76% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 55% | 40% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 25 | 72% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 34% | 48% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 25 | 68% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 17% | 45% | 31% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 25 | 64% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 6% | 30% | 41% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 25 | 60% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 1% | 12% | 35% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 25 | 56% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 25 | 52% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 30% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 25 | 48% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
11 of 25 | 44% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 15% | 3% |
10 of 25 | 40% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 33% | 23% |
9 of 25 | 36% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 27% | 62% |
8 of 25 | 32% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
5 of 25 | 20% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 25 | 0% | 3 | 26 | 5 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |