The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Crew (12‑6‑9) vs Red Bulls (11‑11‑6) |
60 | Crew Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 28% | 19% | 11% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑15‑9) vs NY City FC (13‑8‑5) |
13 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 13% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 27% | 15% | 8% | ||
| Whitecaps (14‑6‑7) vs Orlando City SC (13‑7‑8) |
10 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 28% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Revolution (8‑12‑7) vs Charlotte FC (15‑11‑2) |
9 | Revolution Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 29% | 16% | 7% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑7) vs Fire (11‑10‑6) |
7 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 28% | 13% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 10% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑11) vs Nashville SC (15‑8‑5) |
3 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 25% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑9) vs CF Montréal (5‑15‑8) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 8% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (16‑8‑4) vs Union (16‑6‑6) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 8% | ||