The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Crew (6‑12‑5) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑10) |
33 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 82% | ||
| Crew (6‑12‑5) vs Red Bull (7‑10‑6) |
28 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 86% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑2‑5) vs Toronto FC (5‑7‑11) |
5 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 77% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑9‑6) vs Union (7‑10‑6) |
4 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 76% | ||
| Revolution (11‑7‑4) vs NY City FC (7‑8‑8) |
3 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 75% | ||
| Atlanta United (6‑13‑4) vs Orlando City SC (8‑11‑4) |
3 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 76% | ||
| Charlotte FC (10‑7‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑7‑7) |
3 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑9‑5) vs NY City FC (7‑8‑8) |
3 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||
| LAFC (10‑7‑7) vs Red Bull (7‑10‑6) |
2 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 76% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (8‑7‑7) vs Union (7‑10‑6) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 76% | ||
| Atlanta United (6‑13‑4) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑10) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑12‑6) vs Charlotte FC (10‑7‑6) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Rapids (10‑12‑1) vs CF Montréal (5‑12‑6) |
1 | Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑7) vs Fire (11‑6‑5) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 74% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑2‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑7) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Orlando City SC (8‑11‑4) vs Toronto FC (5‑7‑11) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||
| Fire (11‑6‑5) vs Revolution (11‑7‑4) |
0 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 75% | ||