The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Crew (12‑5‑8) vs NY City FC (11‑8‑5) |
41 | Crew Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 19% | 29% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| LAFC (10‑6‑6) vs Fire (10‑9‑5) |
7 | LAFC Wins | 1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Fire Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑6) vs Orlando City SC (11‑6‑8) |
5 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (15‑6‑4) vs Charlotte FC (12‑11‑2) |
4 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (9‑11‑4) vs Red Bulls (9‑10‑6) |
4 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (4‑14‑6) vs Nashville SC (14‑6‑5) |
2 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑6) vs Union (15‑5‑5) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Union Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑11‑9) vs CF Montréal (4‑15‑6) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑14‑7) vs Revolution (6‑11‑7) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 26% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | ||