The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 11 | 6 | 30 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 62% |
Current Standings | 7 | 11 | 6 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 75% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 12 | 6 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 81% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 60% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 75% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 84% |
Best Case Scenario Dynamo beats Austin FC Red Bulls beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Austin FC beats Dynamo Real Salt Lake beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 6% | 27% | 44% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 28% | 46% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 10 | 80% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 30% | 47% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 10 | 70% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 31% | 43% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
6 of 10 | 60% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 43% | 24% | 5% |
5 of 10 | 50% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 39% | 44% |
4 of 10 | 40% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
3 of 10 | 30% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 8 | 20 | 6 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 7 | 21 | 6 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |