PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 14 9:15 pm

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Dynamo What If?

The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dynamo What If?

Next Game - Austin FC (2‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 5 2 1 16 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 17%
Current Standings 4 2 1 13 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 20%
Lose Next Game 4 3 1 13 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 25%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 8% 17%
Current Standings 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 20%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 9% 25%
Best Case Scenario
   Crew beats Timbers
   Dynamo beats Austin FC
   Charlotte FC beats Minnesota United
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Crew
   Austin FC beats Dynamo
   Minnesota United beats Charlotte FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
27 of 27 100% 31 2 1 94 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 27 93% 29 4 1 88 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 27 81% 26 7 1 79 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 27 78% 25 8 1 76 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 27 74% 24 9 1 73 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 27 70% 23 10 1 70 52% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 27 67% 22 11 1 67 30% 47% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 27 63% 21 12 1 64 13% 40% 34% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 27 59% 20 13 1 61 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 27 56% 19 14 1 58 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 27 52% 18 15 1 55 <1% 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 27 48% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1%
12 of 27 44% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1%
11 of 27 41% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6%
10 of 27 37% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 26%
9 of 27 33% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 60%
8 of 27 30% 12 21 1 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
5 of 27 19% 9 24 1 28 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 27 0% 4 29 1 13 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs