The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 4% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
Current Standings | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 3% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 2% | 7% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 17% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
Current Standings | 3% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 19% |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Sounders Earthquakes beats Union FC Cincinnati beats Whitecaps |
Worst Case Scenario Sounders beats Charlotte FC Union beats Earthquakes Whitecaps beats FC Cincinnati |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 80% | 20% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 63% | 35% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 45% | 48% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 28% | 54% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 15% | 50% | 33% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 18 | 72% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 5% | 35% | 46% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 18 | 67% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 1% | 16% | 45% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 18 | 61% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 4% | 26% | 41% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 18 | 56% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 27% | 37% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 18 | 50% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 35% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 18 | 44% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 32% | 16% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 57% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |