PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Sep 16 12:30 am

MLS - Week 30 of 32

Earthquakes What If?

The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Earthquakes What If?

Next Game - Atlanta United (15‑11‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 14 12 5 47 X 5% 9% 14% 18% 20% 21% 14%
Current Standings 13 12 5 44 X 2% 5% 9% 13% 18% 24% 30%
Lose Next Game 13 13 5 44 X <1% 2% 5% 9% 17% 26% 40%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario X 4% 9% 14% 20% 23% 24% 6%
Current Standings X 2% 5% 9% 13% 18% 24% 30%
Worst Case Scenario X <1% 2% 5% 6% 12% 20% 55%
Best Case Scenario
   Sounders beats FC Dallas
   Earthquakes beats Atlanta United
   NY City FC beats FC Dallas
Worst Case Scenario
   FC Dallas beats Sounders
   Atlanta United beats Earthquakes
   FC Dallas beats NY City FC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
4 of 4 100% 17 12 5 56 X 41% 46% 13% 1% ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 16 13 5 53 X 1% 13% 36% 37% 12% 1% <1%
2 of 4 50% 15 14 5 50 X <1% <1% 1% 15% 40% 35% 9%
1 of 4 25% 14 15 5 47 X X X <1% <1% 5% 37% 58%
0 of 4 0% 13 16 5 44 X X X X X X 3% 97%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs