The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 14 | 12 | 5 | 47 | X | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 14% |
| Current Standings | 13 | 12 | 5 | 44 | X | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 30% |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 13 | 5 | 44 | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 26% | 40% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 4% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 6% |
| Current Standings | X | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 30% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 55% |
|
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats FC Dallas Earthquakes beats Atlanta United NY City FC beats FC Dallas |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Sounders Atlanta United beats Earthquakes FC Dallas beats NY City FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | X | 41% | 46% | 13% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | X | 1% | 13% | 36% | 37% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 40% | 35% | 9% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 37% | 58% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 97% |