The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 53% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 55% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 56% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 53% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 55% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 56% |
|
Best Case Scenario Earthquakes beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Earthquakes |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 32 of 32 | 100% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 97 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 32 | 94% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 29 of 32 | 91% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 83% | 16% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 32 | 88% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 66% | 31% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 32 | 84% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 45% | 45% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 32 | 81% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 26% | 48% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 25 of 32 | 78% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 12% | 41% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 24 of 32 | 75% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 4% | 25% | 42% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 23 of 32 | 72% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 1% | 12% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 22 of 32 | 69% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 5% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 21 of 32 | 66% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
| 20 of 32 | 63% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 10% | 1% |
| 19 of 32 | 59% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 34% | 20% | 6% |
| 18 of 32 | 56% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 29% | 14% |
| 17 of 32 | 53% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 27% | 34% | 29% |
| 16 of 32 | 50% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 33% | 46% |
| 15 of 32 | 47% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 65% |
| 14 of 32 | 44% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 81% |
| 13 of 32 | 41% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| 10 of 32 | 31% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 32 | 16% | 5 | 28 | 1 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 32 | 0% | 0 | 33 | 1 | 1 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |