The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
Current Standings | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 94% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 94% |
Best Case Scenario Earthquakes beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario Nashville SC beats Earthquakes |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
25 of 25 | 100% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 25 | 96% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 81% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 25 | 92% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 64% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
22 of 25 | 88% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 43% | 44% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
21 of 25 | 84% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 23% | 46% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 25 | 80% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 9% | 34% | 39% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 25 | 76% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | 2% | 16% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 25 | 72% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | 4% | 19% | 38% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 25 | 68% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 37% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 25 | 64% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
15 of 25 | 60% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 2% |
14 of 25 | 56% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 34% | 29% | 13% |
13 of 25 | 52% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 45% |
12 of 25 | 48% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 79% |
10 of 25 | 40% | 11 | 23 | 0 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 25 | 20% | 6 | 28 | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 25 | 0% | 1 | 33 | 0 | 3 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |