PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 16 4:45 pm

MLS - Week 1 of 32

Fire What If?

The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fire What If?

Next Game - Sounders (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 44%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 46%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 44%
Current Standings 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 46%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 47%
Best Case Scenario
   Fire beats Sounders
Worst Case Scenario
   Sounders beats Fire
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
34 of 34 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 30 4 0 90 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 29 5 0 87 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 28 6 0 84 61% 33% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 27 7 0 81 39% 44% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 34 76% 26 8 0 78 20% 44% 30% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 34 74% 25 9 0 75 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 34 71% 24 10 0 72 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1% <1% <1%
23 of 34 68% 23 11 0 69 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% 1% <1%
22 of 34 65% 22 12 0 66 <1% 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2% <1%
21 of 34 62% 21 13 0 63 <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
20 of 34 59% 20 14 0 60 <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4%
19 of 34 56% 19 15 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 10%
18 of 34 53% 18 16 0 54 <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 31% 20%
17 of 34 50% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 34%
16 of 34 47% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 50%
15 of 34 44% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 66%
14 of 34 41% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 81%
13 of 34 38% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
10 of 34 29% 10 24 0 30 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 34 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs