The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (5‑5‑4) vs Orlando City SC (7‑3‑6) |
36 | Fire Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 59% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑10‑5) vs Revolution (5‑4‑5) |
6 | CF Montréal Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 56% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑7‑5) vs Red Bulls (7‑6‑3) |
5 | Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 57% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑9‑4) vs Charlotte FC (7‑8‑1) |
3 | Toronto FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 56% | ||
| D.C. United (3‑7‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑4‑3) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Nashville SC (8‑4‑4) vs NY City FC (7‑6‑3) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 57% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (7‑3‑5) vs Crew (7‑2‑7) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| Crew Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 56% | ||
| Union (10‑3‑3) vs FC Dallas (4‑6‑5) |
1 | Union Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 55% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 56% | ||