The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (2‑3‑3) vs Real Salt Lake (3‑2‑3) |
25 | Fire Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 44% | ||
| LAFC (3‑3‑2) vs Red Bulls (4‑1‑3) |
4 | LAFC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Nashville SC (1‑2‑4) vs Inter Miami CF (4‑2‑3) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Revolution (1‑5‑1) vs Toronto FC (3‑4‑1) |
2 | Revolution Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Minnesota United (3‑2‑2) vs Charlotte FC (3‑3‑2) |
2 | Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 42% | ||
| NY City FC (2‑4‑2) vs D.C. United (2‑2‑4) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Atlanta United (3‑2‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (3‑2‑3) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Crew (3‑1‑4) vs Timbers (2‑3‑3) |
0 | Crew Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 42% | ||
| Orlando City SC (2‑3‑2) vs CF Montréal (3‑3‑1) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 41% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 42% | ||