The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (0‑0) vs Dynamo (0‑0) |
46 | Fire Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 45% | ||
| FC Dallas (0‑0) vs Toronto FC (0‑0) |
4 | FC Dallas Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Orlando City SC (0‑0) vs Red Bulls (0‑0) |
4 | Orlando City SC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| San Diego FC (0‑0) vs CF Montréal (0‑0) |
3 | San Diego FC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 41% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (0‑0) vs Charlotte FC (0‑0) |
3 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Timbers (0‑0) vs Crew (0‑0) |
3 | Timbers Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Crew Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| LAFC (0‑0) vs Inter Miami CF (0‑0) |
3 | LAFC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑0) vs NY City FC (0‑0) |
2 | Galaxy Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Union (0‑0) vs D.C. United (0‑0) |
2 | Union Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 40% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (0‑0) vs Atlanta United (0‑0) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Nashville SC (0‑0) vs Revolution (0‑0) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||