The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (11‑10‑6) vs Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑7) |
49 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 36% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 36% | 47% | ||
| Crew (12‑6‑9) vs Red Bulls (11‑11‑6) |
12 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 46% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 27% | 47% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑15‑9) vs NY City FC (13‑8‑5) |
6 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 34% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Whitecaps (14‑6‑7) vs Orlando City SC (13‑7‑8) |
4 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 35% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 37% | 39% | ||
| Revolution (8‑12‑7) vs Charlotte FC (15‑11‑2) |
2 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 34% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 37% | 39% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑11) vs Nashville SC (15‑8‑5) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 35% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑9) vs CF Montréal (5‑15‑8) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 35% | 40% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (16‑8‑4) vs Union (16‑6‑6) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 37% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 36% | 40% | ||