The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (10‑3‑4) vs Charlotte FC (8‑8‑1) |
26 | Union Wins | 41% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 27% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rapids (6‑7‑4) vs Orlando City SC (7‑4‑6) |
2 | Rapids Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Austin FC (6‑7‑5) vs Red Bulls (8‑6‑3) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑1‑5) vs Crew (7‑3‑7) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | 36% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Crew Wins | 35% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Revolution (6‑4‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑5‑3) |
1 | Revolution Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fire (7‑5‑4) vs Nashville SC (8‑4‑5) |
1 | Fire Wins | 37% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 35% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑11‑5) vs Dynamo (5‑7‑5) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑10‑4) vs LAFC (7‑4‑5) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (4‑10‑3) vs D.C. United (4‑8‑6) |
0 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 36% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||