The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (16‑6‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (16‑8‑4) |
26 | Union Wins | 66% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 26% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fire (11‑10‑6) vs Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑7) |
5 | Fire Wins | 51% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 42% | 27% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑12‑11) vs Nashville SC (15‑8‑5) |
4 | Atlanta United Wins | 50% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 45% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution (8‑12‑7) vs Charlotte FC (15‑11‑2) |
2 | Revolution Wins | 45% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 46% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps (14‑6‑7) vs Orlando City SC (13‑7‑8) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 45% | 26% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑15‑9) vs NY City FC (13‑8‑5) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bulls (11‑11‑6) vs Crew (12‑6‑9) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | 45% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crew Wins | 45% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑9) vs CF Montréal (5‑15‑8) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||