The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (12‑4‑4) vs Nashville SC (11‑4‑5) |
19 | Union Wins | 53% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 31% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders (8‑6‑5) vs Crew (10‑3‑7) |
3 | Sounders Wins | 41% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crew Wins | 39% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑10‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (8‑3‑5) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 43% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 39% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑12‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (8‑3‑5) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | 43% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 39% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fire (8‑7‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (12‑5‑3) |
2 | Fire Wins | 42% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 39% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC (8‑11‑1) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑6) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | 40% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 40% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑10‑5) vs NY City FC (8‑7‑4) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | 39% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (7‑7‑6) vs Red Bulls (8‑7‑5) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 40% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑10‑5) vs D.C. United (4‑10‑6) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 39% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution (6‑6‑6) vs Timbers (8‑5‑6) |
0 | Revolution Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||