The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (10‑3‑3) vs FC Dallas (4‑6‑5) |
16 | Union Wins | 50% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 36% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| D.C. United (3‑7‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑4‑3) |
3 | D.C. United Wins | 47% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 45% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑10‑5) vs Revolution (5‑4‑5) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | 46% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 44% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NY City FC (7‑6‑3) vs Nashville SC (8‑4‑4) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | 47% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 44% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑7‑5) vs Red Bulls (7‑6‑3) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | 46% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑9‑4) vs Charlotte FC (7‑8‑1) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | 46% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Fire (5‑5‑4) vs Orlando City SC (7‑3‑6) |
1 | Fire Wins | 46% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 44% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Crew (7‑2‑7) vs Inter Miami CF (7‑3‑5) |
1 | Crew Wins | 46% | 20% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 45% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||