The Most Important Games for the Union are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Union final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Union fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Union Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Union (1‑7‑3) vs Revolution (6‑3‑1) |
22 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 76% | ||
| Charlotte FC (4‑5‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (4‑4‑3) |
3 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 75% | ||
| LAFC (6‑2‑3) vs NY City FC (3‑5‑3) |
3 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 75% | ||
| Nashville SC (7‑1‑2) vs D.C. United (4‑4‑3) |
2 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 75% | ||
| Orlando City SC (3‑7‑1) vs CF Montréal (3‑7) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Crew (3‑5‑3) vs NY City FC (3‑5‑3) |
1 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Galaxy (3‑4‑4) vs Atlanta United (3‑7‑1) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (5‑2‑4) vs Toronto FC (3‑3‑5) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Red Bull (3‑5‑3) vs Fire (5‑3‑2) |
0 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 74% | ||