The Union What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Union play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 76% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 74% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
|
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats NY City FC Galaxy beats Atlanta United Union beats Revolution |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats LAFC Atlanta United beats Galaxy Revolution beats Union |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 23 of 23 | 100% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 39% | 59% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 23 | 96% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 23% | 69% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 23 | 91% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 12% | 70% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 23 | 87% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 5% | 58% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 19 of 23 | 83% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 2% | 39% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 23 | 78% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 19% | 45% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 17 of 23 | 74% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 6% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 23 | 70% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 23 | 65% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 34% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 23 | 61% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 33% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| 13 of 23 | 57% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 32% | 34% | 16% | 4% |
| 12 of 23 | 52% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 24% |
| 11 of 23 | 48% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 26% | 65% |
| 10 of 23 | 43% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| 5 of 23 | 22% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 23 | 0% | 1 | 30 | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |