Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 44i Pistons Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 21 @ Bulls 126-110 Lost Mon, Feb 23 vs Spurs 103-114 Won Wed, Feb 25 vs Thunder 124-116 Won Fri, Feb 27 vs Cavs 122-119 Sun, Mar 01 @ Magic Tue, Mar 03 @ Cavs Thu, Mar 05 @ Spurs Sat, Mar 07 vs Nets |
14 | 58 | 98% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Celtics | 39 Celtics Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 22 @ Lakers 111-89 Won Tue, Feb 24 @ Suns 97-81 Lost Wed, Feb 25 @ Nuggets 84-103 Won Fri, Feb 27 vs Nets 148-111 Sun, Mar 01 vs Sixers Mon, Mar 02 @ Bucks Wed, Mar 04 vs Hornets Fri, Mar 06 vs Mavericks |
20 | 59 | 1% | 59% | 26% | 10% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Knicks | 38 Knicks Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 21 vs Rockets 108-106 Won Sun, Feb 22 @ Bulls 105-99 Lost Tue, Feb 24 @ Cavs 94-109 Won Fri, Feb 27 @ Bucks 127-98 Sun, Mar 01 vs Spurs Tue, Mar 03 @ Raptors Wed, Mar 04 vs Thunder Fri, Mar 06 @ Nuggets |
22 | 60 | <1% | 29% | 39% | 22% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Cavaliers | 37 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 22 @ Thunder 113-121 Won Tue, Feb 24 vs Knicks 109-94 Lost Wed, Feb 25 @ Bucks 116-118 Lost Fri, Feb 27 @ Pistons 119-122 Sun, Mar 01 @ Nets Tue, Mar 03 vs Pistons Sun, Mar 08 vs Celtics Mon, Mar 09 vs Sixers |
24 | 61 | <1% | 10% | 27% | 40% | 16% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Raptors | 34 Raptors Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 19 @ Bulls 110-101 Won Sun, Feb 22 @ Bucks 122-94 Lost Tue, Feb 24 vs Thunder 107-116 Lost Wed, Feb 25 vs Spurs 107-110 Sat, Feb 28 @ Wizards Tue, Mar 03 vs Knicks Thu, Mar 05 @ T. Wolves Sun, Mar 08 vs Mavericks |
25 | 59 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 33% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Sixers | 33 Sixers Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 21 @ Pelicans 111-126 Won Sun, Feb 22 @ T. Wolves 135-108 Won Tue, Feb 24 @ Pacers 135-114 Won Thu, Feb 26 vs Heat 124-117 Sun, Mar 01 @ Celtics Tue, Mar 03 vs Spurs Wed, Mar 04 vs Jazz Sat, Mar 07 @ Hawks |
26 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Magic | 31 Magic Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 21 @ Suns 110-113 Won Sun, Feb 22 @ Clippers 111-109 Won Tue, Feb 24 @ Lakers 110-109 Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Rockets 108-113 Sun, Mar 01 vs Pistons Tue, Mar 03 vs Wizards Thu, Mar 05 vs Mavericks Sat, Mar 07 @ T. Wolves |
27 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Heat | 31 Heat Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 20 @ Hawks 128-97 Won Sat, Feb 21 vs Grizzlies 136-120 Lost Tue, Feb 24 @ Bucks 117-128 Lost Thu, Feb 26 @ Sixers 117-124 Sat, Feb 28 vs Rockets Tue, Mar 03 vs Nets Thu, Mar 05 vs Nets Fri, Mar 06 @ Hornets |
29 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 11% | 3% |
| Hawks | 30 Hawks Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 20 vs Heat 97-128 Won Sun, Feb 22 vs Nets 115-104 Won Tue, Feb 24 vs Wizards 119-98 Won Thu, Feb 26 vs Wizards 126-96 Sun, Mar 01 vs Trail Blazers Wed, Mar 04 @ Bucks Sat, Mar 07 vs Sixers Tue, Mar 10 vs Mavericks |
31 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Hornets | 29 Hornets Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 20 vs Cavs 113-118 Won Sun, Feb 22 @ Wizards 129-112 Won Tue, Feb 24 @ Bulls 131-99 Won Thu, Feb 26 @ Pacers 133-109 Sat, Feb 28 vs Trail Blazers Tue, Mar 03 vs Mavericks Wed, Mar 04 @ Celtics Fri, Mar 06 vs Heat |
31 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 23% | 30% | 23% |
| Bucks | 26 Bucks Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 22 vs Raptors 94-122 Won Tue, Feb 24 vs Heat 128-117 Won Wed, Feb 25 vs Cavs 118-116 Lost Fri, Feb 27 vs Knicks 98-127 Sun, Mar 01 @ Bulls Mon, Mar 02 vs Celtics Wed, Mar 04 vs Hawks Sat, Mar 07 vs Jazz |
32 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 57% |
| Bulls | 24 Bulls Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 21 vs Pistons 110-126 Lost Sun, Feb 22 vs Knicks 99-105 Lost Tue, Feb 24 vs Hornets 99-131 Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Trail Blazers 112-121 Sun, Mar 01 vs Bucks Tue, Mar 03 vs Thunder Thu, Mar 05 @ Suns Sun, Mar 08 @ Kings |
36 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Wizards | 16 Wizards Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 20 vs Pacers 131-118 Lost Sun, Feb 22 vs Hornets 112-129 Lost Tue, Feb 24 @ Hawks 98-119 Lost Thu, Feb 26 @ Hawks 96-126 Sat, Feb 28 vs Raptors Mon, Mar 02 vs Rockets Tue, Mar 03 @ Magic Thu, Mar 05 vs Jazz |
42 | 58 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Nets | 15 Nets Recent Games Lost Sun, Feb 22 @ Hawks 104-115 Lost Tue, Feb 24 vs Mavericks 114-123 Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Spurs 110-126 Lost Fri, Feb 27 @ Celtics 111-148 Sun, Mar 01 vs Cavs Tue, Mar 03 @ Heat Thu, Mar 05 @ Heat Sat, Mar 07 @ Pistons |
44 | 59 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Pacers | 15 Pacers Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 20 @ Wizards 118-131 Lost Sun, Feb 22 vs Mavericks 130-134 Lost Tue, Feb 24 vs Sixers 114-135 Lost Thu, Feb 26 vs Hornets 109-133 Sun, Mar 01 vs Grizzlies Wed, Mar 04 @ Clippers Fri, Mar 06 @ Lakers Sun, Mar 08 @ Trail Blazers |
45 | 60 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (2%) |
Away (62%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Pistons | 44 | 14 | 19% | <1% | 19% |
| (2)Celtics | 39 | 20 | 19% | <1% | 19% |
| (3)Knicks | 38 | 22 | 14% | <1% | 13% |
| (4)Cavaliers | 37 | 24 | 10% | 1% | 9% |
| (5)Raptors | 34 | 25 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (6)Sixers | 33 | 26 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| (7)Magic | 31 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (9)Hawks | 30 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (10)Hornets | 29 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (11)Bucks | 26 | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (12)Bulls | 24 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Wizards | 16 | 42 | <1% | <1% | X |
| (14)Nets | 15 | 44 | <1% | <1% | X |
| (15)Pacers | 15 | 45 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | 36% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (31‑27) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (22‑36) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (38‑22) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (29‑31) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (43‑16) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (34‑24) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (27‑31) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (37‑23) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (29‑31) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (29‑31) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (37‑24) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (37‑24) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (38‑22) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (38‑22) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (31‑28) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (24‑36) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (33‑26) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (21‑38) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (26‑32) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (44‑14) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (27‑31) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (21‑38) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (31‑27) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (14‑47) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (31‑27) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (34‑25) |
96‑106 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Nets (15‑44) |
106‑95 | Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Celtics (39‑20) |
116‑129 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Knicks (38‑22) |
125‑132 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Raptors (34‑25) |
91‑112 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (30‑31) |
126‑111 | Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacers (15‑45) |
142‑116 | Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Nuggets (37‑23) |
147‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pistons (44‑14) |
118‑112 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (37‑23) |
115‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (18‑42) |
125‑106 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (37‑23) |
94‑122 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Pacers (15‑45) |
99‑123 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Thunder (46‑15) |
112‑124 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Suns (34‑26) |
127‑121 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Celtics (39‑20) |
114‑119 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Thunder (46‑15) |
122‑120 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Warriors (31‑28) |
112‑135 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Kings (14‑47) |
130‑117 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (29‑31) |
110‑127 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Jazz (18‑41) |
147‑116 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm |
| 14 | Suns (34‑26) |
111‑102 | Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Magic (31‑27) |
124‑133 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (24‑36) |
116‑113 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (24‑36) |
118‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (24‑36) |
134‑91 | Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | Hawks (30‑31) |
115‑127 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Celtics (39‑20) |
96‑98 | Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Wizards (16‑42) |
132‑101 | Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 17 | Jazz (18‑41) |
111‑115 | Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm |
| 17 | Pelicans (18‑42) |
123‑111 | Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm |
| 18 | Hawks (30‑31) |
128‑97 | Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Grizzlies (22‑36) |
136‑120 | Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Bucks (26‑32) |
117‑128 | Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Sixers (33‑26) |
117‑124 | Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Rockets (37‑21) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (15‑44) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Nets (15‑44) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Hornets (29‑31) |
Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Pistons (44‑14) |
Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm | |
| 21 | Wizards (16‑42) |
Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (26‑32) |
Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (31‑27) |
Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (29‑31) |
Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 22 | Lakers (34‑24) |
Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (37‑21) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (43‑16) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (37‑24) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (37‑24) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (15‑45) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (33‑26) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (39‑20) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (16‑42) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (34‑25) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (34‑25) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (16‑42) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (30‑31) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |