Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Cavaliers | 55i Cavaliers Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 05 vs Heat 112-107 Won Fri, Mar 07 @ Hornets 118-117 Won Sun, Mar 09 @ Bucks 112-100 Won Tue, Mar 11 vs Nets 109-104 Fri, Mar 14 @ Grizzlies Sun, Mar 16 vs Magic Tue, Mar 18 @ Clippers Wed, Mar 19 @ Kings |
10 | 65 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Celtics | 47 Celtics Recent Games Won Thu, Mar 06 vs Sixers 123-105 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Lakers 111-101 Won Mon, Mar 10 vs Jazz 114-108 Lost Wed, Mar 12 vs Thunder 112-118 Fri, Mar 14 @ Heat Sat, Mar 15 @ Nets Tue, Mar 18 vs Nets Fri, Mar 21 @ Jazz |
19 | 66 | <1% | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Knicks | 42 Knicks Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 06 @ Lakers 109-113 Lost Fri, Mar 07 @ Clippers 95-105 Won Mon, Mar 10 @ Kings 133-104 Won Wed, Mar 12 @ Trail Blazers 114-113 Sat, Mar 15 @ Warriors Mon, Mar 17 vs Heat Wed, Mar 19 @ Spurs Thu, Mar 20 @ Hornets |
23 | 65 | <1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Pistons | 37 Pistons Recent Games Lost Wed, Mar 05 @ Clippers 115-123 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Warriors 110-115 Won Sun, Mar 09 @ Trail Blazers 119-112 Won Tue, Mar 11 vs Wizards 123-103 Thu, Mar 13 vs Wizards Sat, Mar 15 vs Thunder Mon, Mar 17 @ Pelicans Wed, Mar 19 @ Heat |
29 | 66 | X | <1% | 1% | 22% | 34% | 39% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bucks | 36 Bucks Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 05 vs Mavericks 137-107 Lost Sat, Mar 08 vs Magic 109-111 Lost Sun, Mar 09 vs Cavs 100-112 Lost Tue, Mar 11 @ Pacers 114-115 Thu, Mar 13 vs Lakers Sat, Mar 15 vs Pacers Sun, Mar 16 vs Thunder Tue, Mar 18 @ Warriors |
28 | 64 | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 31% | 32% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Pacers | 36 Pacers Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 06 @ Hawks 118-124 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Hawks 118-120 Lost Mon, Mar 10 @ Bulls 103-121 Won Tue, Mar 11 vs Bucks 115-114 Fri, Mar 14 @ Sixers Sat, Mar 15 @ Bucks Mon, Mar 17 @ T. Wolves Wed, Mar 19 vs Mavericks |
28 | 64 | X | <1% | 1% | 45% | 32% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawks | 32 Hawks Recent Games Won Thu, Mar 06 vs Pacers 124-118 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Pacers 120-118 Won Mon, Mar 10 vs Sixers 132-123 Won Wed, Mar 12 vs Hornets 123-110 Fri, Mar 14 vs Clippers Sun, Mar 16 @ Nets Tue, Mar 18 @ Hornets Sat, Mar 22 vs Warriors |
34 | 66 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 62% | 18% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Magic | 30 Magic Recent Games Lost Tue, Mar 04 vs Raptors 113-114 Lost Thu, Mar 06 vs Bulls 123-125 Won Sat, Mar 08 @ Bucks 111-109 Lost Mon, Mar 10 @ Rockets 84-97 Thu, Mar 13 @ Pelicans Fri, Mar 14 @ T. Wolves Sun, Mar 16 @ Cavs Mon, Mar 17 @ Spurs |
36 | 66 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 14% | 1% |
| Heat | 29 Heat Recent Games Lost Fri, Mar 07 vs T. Wolves 104-106 Lost Sat, Mar 08 vs Bulls 109-114 Lost Mon, Mar 10 vs Hornets 102-105 Lost Wed, Mar 12 vs Clippers 104-119 Fri, Mar 14 vs Celtics Sat, Mar 15 @ Grizzlies Mon, Mar 17 @ Knicks Wed, Mar 19 vs Pistons |
36 | 65 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 36% | 35% | 16% | 1% |
| Bulls | 27 Bulls Recent Games Lost Tue, Mar 04 vs Cavs 117-139 Won Thu, Mar 06 @ Magic 125-123 Won Sat, Mar 08 @ Heat 114-109 Won Mon, Mar 10 vs Pacers 121-103 Thu, Mar 13 vs Nets Sat, Mar 15 @ Rockets Mon, Mar 17 @ Jazz Wed, Mar 19 @ Suns |
38 | 65 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 22% | 56% | 12% |
| Raptors | 23 Raptors Recent Games Won Fri, Mar 07 vs Jazz 118-109 Lost Sat, Mar 08 vs Wizards 117-118 Won Mon, Mar 10 vs Wizards 119-104 Won Wed, Mar 12 vs Sixers 118-105 Fri, Mar 14 @ Jazz Sun, Mar 16 @ Trail Blazers Mon, Mar 17 @ Suns Wed, Mar 19 @ Warriors |
43 | 66 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 93% |
| Nets | 22 Nets Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 06 vs Warriors 119-121 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Hornets 102-105 Won Mon, Mar 10 vs Lakers 111-108 Lost Tue, Mar 11 @ Cavs 104-109 Thu, Mar 13 @ Bulls Sat, Mar 15 vs Celtics Sun, Mar 16 vs Hawks Tue, Mar 18 @ Celtics |
43 | 65 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Sixers | 22 Sixers Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 06 @ Celtics 105-123 Won Sun, Mar 09 vs Jazz 126-122 Lost Mon, Mar 10 @ Hawks 123-132 Lost Wed, Mar 12 @ Raptors 105-118 Fri, Mar 14 vs Pacers Sun, Mar 16 @ Mavericks Mon, Mar 17 @ Rockets Wed, Mar 19 @ Thunder |
43 | 65 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Hornets | 16 Hornets Recent Games Lost Fri, Mar 07 vs Cavs 117-118 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Nets 105-102 Won Mon, Mar 10 @ Heat 105-102 Lost Wed, Mar 12 @ Hawks 110-123 Fri, Mar 14 @ Spurs Sun, Mar 16 @ Clippers Tue, Mar 18 vs Hawks Thu, Mar 20 vs Knicks |
49 | 65 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Wizards | 13 Wizards Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 05 vs Jazz 125-122 Won Sat, Mar 08 @ Raptors 118-117 Lost Mon, Mar 10 @ Raptors 104-119 Lost Tue, Mar 11 @ Pistons 103-123 Thu, Mar 13 @ Pistons Sat, Mar 15 @ Nuggets Mon, Mar 17 @ Trail Blazers Fri, Mar 21 vs Magic |
51 | 64 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (<1%) |
Away (49%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Cavaliers | 55 | 10 | 24% | X | 24% |
| (2)Celtics | 47 | 19 | 24% | X | 24% |
| (3)Knicks | 42 | 23 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (6)Pacers | 36 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (4)Pistons | 37 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (5)Bucks | 36 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (7)Hawks | 32 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (8)Magic | 30 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (10)Bulls | 27 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (11)Raptors | 23 | 43 | X | X | X |
| (12)Nets | 22 | 43 | X | X | X |
| (13)Sixers | 22 | 43 | X | X | X |
| (14)Hornets | 16 | 49 | X | X | X |
| (15)Wizards | 13 | 51 | X | X | X |
| Elimination | 51% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (30‑36) |
97‑116 | Home | Wed Oct 23 |
| 1 | Hornets (16‑49) |
114‑106 | Away | Sat Oct 26 |
| 2 | Pistons (37‑29) |
106‑98 | Home | Mon Oct 28 |
| 2 | Knicks (42‑23) |
107‑116 | Home | Wed Oct 30 |
| 2 | Wizards (13‑51) |
118‑98 | Away | Sat Nov 2 |
| 3 | Kings (33‑31) |
110‑111 | Home | Mon Nov 4 |
| 3 | Suns (30‑36) |
112‑115 | Away | Wed Nov 6 |
| 3 | Nuggets (42‑24) |
122‑135 | Away | Fri Nov 8 |
| 3 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (38‑29) |
95‑94 | Away | Sun Nov 10 |
| 4 | Pistons (37‑29) |
121‑123 (OT) | Away | Tue Nov 12 |
| 4 | Pacers (36‑28) |
124‑111 | Away | Fri Nov 15 |
| 4 | Pacers (36‑28) |
110‑119 | Away | Sun Nov 17 |
| 5 | Sixers (22‑43) |
106‑89 | Home | Mon Nov 18 |
| 5 | Mavericks (33‑34) |
123‑118 (OT) | Home | Sun Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (36‑28) |
103‑106 | Home | Tue Nov 26 |
| 6 | Hornets (16‑49) |
98‑94 | Away | Wed Nov 27 |
| 6 | Raptors (23‑43) |
121‑111 | Home | Fri Nov 29 |
| 6 | Raptors (23‑43) |
116‑119 | Away | Sun Dec 1 |
| 7 | Celtics (47‑19) |
89‑108 | Away | Mon Dec 2 |
| 7 | Lakers (40‑23) |
134‑93 | Home | Wed Dec 4 |
| 7 | Suns (30‑36) |
121‑111 | Home | Sat Dec 7 |
| 7 | Cavaliers (55‑10) |
122‑113 | Home | Sun Dec 8 |
| 8 | Raptors (23‑43) |
114‑104 | Home | Thu Dec 12 |
| 9 | Pistons (37‑29) |
124‑125 (OT) | Away | Mon Dec 16, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Thunder (54‑12) |
97‑104 | Home | Fri Dec 20, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Magic (30‑36) |
114‑121 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Nets (22‑43) |
110‑95 | Home | Mon Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Magic (30‑36) |
89‑88 | Away | Thu Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (32‑34) |
110‑120 | Away | Sat Dec 28, 3:00 pm |
| 10 | Rockets (41‑25) |
104‑100 | Away | Sun Dec 29, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (18‑48) |
119‑108 | Home | Wed Jan 1, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pacers (36‑28) |
115‑128 | Home | Thu Jan 2, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Jazz (15‑51) |
100‑136 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Kings (33‑31) |
118‑123 (OT) | Away | Mon Jan 6, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | Warriors (37‑28) |
114‑98 | Away | Tue Jan 7, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | Jazz (15‑51) |
97‑92 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Trail Blazers (28‑39) |
119‑98 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 10:00 pm |
| 13 | Clippers (36‑30) |
98‑109 | Away | Mon Jan 13, 10:30 pm |
| 13 | Lakers (40‑23) |
108‑117 | Away | Wed Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 13 | Nuggets (42‑24) |
113‑133 | Home | Fri Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Spurs (27‑37) |
128‑107 | Home | Sun Jan 19, 3:00 pm |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (28‑39) |
107‑116 | Home | Tue Jan 21, 7:30 pm |
| 14 | Bucks (36‑28) |
96‑125 | Away | Thu Jan 23, 7:30 pm |
| 14 | Nets (22‑43) |
106‑97 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 6:00 pm |
| 15 | Magic (30‑36) |
125‑119 (OT) | Home | Mon Jan 27, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Cavaliers (55‑10) |
106‑126 | Home | Wed Jan 29, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Spurs (27‑37) |
105‑103 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 8:30 pm |
| 16 | Bulls (27‑38) |
124‑133 | Away | Tue Feb 4, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Sixers (22‑43) |
108‑101 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Nets (22‑43) |
86‑102 | Away | Fri Feb 7, 7:30 pm |
| 17 | Celtics (47‑19) |
85‑103 | Home | Mon Feb 10, 7:30 pm |
| 17 | Thunder (54‑12) |
101‑115 | Away | Wed Feb 12, 8:00 pm |
| 17 | Mavericks (33‑34) |
113‑118 | Away | Thu Feb 13, 8:30 pm |
| 18 | Raptors (23‑43) |
120‑111 (OT) | Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Bucks (36‑28) |
113‑120 | Away | Sun Feb 23, 6:00 pm |
| 19 | Hawks (32‑34) |
86‑98 | Away | Mon Feb 24, 7:30 pm |
| 19 | Hawks (32‑34) |
131‑109 | Home | Wed Feb 26, 7:30 pm |
| 19 | Pacers (36‑28) |
125‑120 | Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Knicks (42‑23) |
112‑116 (OT) | Home | Sun Mar 2, 6:00 pm |
| 20 | Wizards (13‑51) |
106‑90 | Home | Mon Mar 3, 7:30 pm |
| 20 | Cavaliers (55‑10) |
107‑112 | Away | Wed Mar 5, 7:00 pm |
| 20 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (38‑29) |
104‑106 | Home | Fri Mar 7, 8:00 pm |
| 20 | Bulls (27‑38) |
109‑114 | Home | Sat Mar 8, 8:00 pm |
| 21 | Hornets (16‑49) |
102‑105 | Home | Mon Mar 10, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Clippers (36‑30) |
104‑119 | Home | Wed Mar 12, 8:00 pm |
| 21 | Celtics (47‑19) |
Home | Fri Mar 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Grizzlies (42‑24) |
Away | Sat Mar 15, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Knicks (42‑23) |
Away | Mon Mar 17, 7:30 pm | |
| 22 | Pistons (37‑29) |
Home | Wed Mar 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 22 | Rockets (41‑25) |
Home | Fri Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 22 | Hornets (16‑49) |
Home | Sun Mar 23, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Warriors (37‑28) |
Home | Tue Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Hawks (32‑34) |
Home | Thu Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Sixers (22‑43) |
Away | Sat Mar 29, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (13‑51) |
Away | Mon Mar 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (47‑19) |
Away | Wed Apr 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Grizzlies (42‑24) |
Home | Thu Apr 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Bucks (36‑28) |
Home | Sat Apr 5, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Sixers (22‑43) |
Home | Mon Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Bulls (27‑38) |
Away | Wed Apr 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Pelicans (18‑48) |
Away | Fri Apr 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (13‑51) |
Home | Sun Apr 13, 1:00 pm |