Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 82 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Pistons | 50i Pistons Recent Games Won Fri, Mar 13 vs Grizzlies 126-110 Lost Sun, Mar 15 @ Raptors 108-119 Won Tue, Mar 17 @ Wizards 130-117 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Wizards 117-95 Fri, Mar 20 vs Warriors Mon, Mar 23 vs Lakers Wed, Mar 25 vs Hawks Thu, Mar 26 vs Pelicans |
19 | 69 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Celtics | 46 Celtics Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Thunder 102-104 Won Sat, Mar 14 vs Wizards 111-100 Won Mon, Mar 16 vs Suns 120-112 Won Wed, Mar 18 vs Warriors 120-99 Fri, Mar 20 @ Grizzlies Sun, Mar 22 vs T. Wolves Wed, Mar 25 vs Thunder Fri, Mar 27 vs Hawks |
23 | 69 | 2% | 61% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Knicks | 45 Knicks Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 11 @ Jazz 134-117 Won Fri, Mar 13 @ Pacers 101-92 Won Sun, Mar 15 vs Warriors 110-107 Won Tue, Mar 17 vs Pacers 136-110 Wed, Mar 18 @ Grizzlies Fri, Mar 20 @ Nets Sun, Mar 22 vs Wizards Tue, Mar 24 vs Pelicans |
25 | 70 | <1% | 35% | 50% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Cavaliers | 43 Cavaliers Recent Games Won Fri, Mar 13 @ Mavericks 138-105 Lost Sun, Mar 15 vs Mavericks 120-130 Won Tue, Mar 17 @ Bucks 123-116 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Bulls 115-110 Sat, Mar 21 @ Pelicans Tue, Mar 24 vs Magic Wed, Mar 25 vs Heat Fri, Mar 27 vs Heat |
27 | 70 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 70% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Raptors | 39 Raptors Recent Games Lost Wed, Mar 11 @ Pelicans 111-122 Won Fri, Mar 13 vs Suns 122-115 Won Sun, Mar 15 vs Pistons 119-108 Won Wed, Mar 18 @ Bulls 139-109 Fri, Mar 20 @ Nuggets Sun, Mar 22 @ Suns Mon, Mar 23 @ Jazz Wed, Mar 25 @ Clippers |
29 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 47% | 23% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Hawks | 38 Hawks Recent Games Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Nets 108-97 Won Sat, Mar 14 vs Bucks 122-99 Won Mon, Mar 16 vs Magic 124-112 Won Wed, Mar 18 @ Mavericks 135-120 Fri, Mar 20 @ Rockets Sat, Mar 21 vs Warriors Mon, Mar 23 vs Grizzlies Wed, Mar 25 @ Pistons |
31 | 69 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 12% | <1% |
| Magic | 38 Magic Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 14 @ Heat 121-117 Lost Mon, Mar 16 @ Hawks 112-124 Lost Tue, Mar 17 vs Thunder 108-113 Lost Thu, Mar 19 @ Hornets 111-130 Sat, Mar 21 vs Lakers Mon, Mar 23 vs Pacers Tue, Mar 24 @ Cavs Thu, Mar 26 vs Kings |
31 | 69 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | <1% |
| Heat | 38 Heat Recent Games Won Thu, Mar 12 vs Bucks 112-105 Lost Sat, Mar 14 vs Magic 117-121 Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ Hornets 106-136 Lost Thu, Mar 19 vs Lakers 126-134 Sat, Mar 21 @ Rockets Mon, Mar 23 vs Spurs Wed, Mar 25 @ Cavs Fri, Mar 27 @ Cavs |
32 | 70 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 13% | <1% |
| Sixers | 38 Sixers Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 14 vs Nets 104-97 Won Sun, Mar 15 vs Trail Blazers 109-103 Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ Nuggets 96-124 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Kings 139-118 Sat, Mar 21 @ Jazz Mon, Mar 23 vs Thunder Wed, Mar 25 vs Bulls Sat, Mar 28 @ Hornets |
32 | 70 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 18% | <1% |
| Hornets | 36 Hornets Recent Games Won Wed, Mar 11 @ Kings 117-109 Lost Sat, Mar 14 @ Spurs 102-115 Won Tue, Mar 17 vs Heat 136-106 Won Thu, Mar 19 vs Magic 130-111 Sat, Mar 21 vs Grizzlies Tue, Mar 24 vs Kings Thu, Mar 26 vs Knicks Sat, Mar 28 vs Sixers |
34 | 70 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 49% | <1% |
| Bucks | 28 Bucks Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 @ Hawks 99-122 Won Sun, Mar 15 vs Pacers 134-123 Lost Tue, Mar 17 vs Cavs 116-123 Lost Thu, Mar 19 @ Jazz 96-128 Sat, Mar 21 @ Suns Mon, Mar 23 @ Clippers Wed, Mar 25 @ Trail Blazers Sat, Mar 28 vs Spurs |
41 | 69 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Bulls | 28 Bulls Recent Games Lost Fri, Mar 13 @ Clippers 108-119 Won Mon, Mar 16 vs Grizzlies 132-107 Lost Wed, Mar 18 vs Raptors 109-139 Lost Thu, Mar 19 vs Cavs 110-115 Mon, Mar 23 vs Rockets Wed, Mar 25 @ Sixers Fri, Mar 27 @ Thunder Sat, Mar 28 @ Grizzlies |
42 | 70 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Nets | 17 Nets Recent Games Lost Thu, Mar 12 @ Hawks 97-108 Lost Sat, Mar 14 @ Sixers 97-104 Lost Mon, Mar 16 vs Trail Blazers 95-114 Lost Wed, Mar 18 vs Thunder 92-121 Fri, Mar 20 vs Knicks Sun, Mar 22 @ Kings Mon, Mar 23 @ Trail Blazers Wed, Mar 25 @ Warriors |
52 | 69 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Wizards | 16 Wizards Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 @ Celtics 100-111 Lost Mon, Mar 16 vs Warriors 117-125 Lost Tue, Mar 17 vs Pistons 117-130 Lost Thu, Mar 19 vs Pistons 95-117 Sat, Mar 21 vs Thunder Sun, Mar 22 @ Knicks Wed, Mar 25 @ Jazz Fri, Mar 27 @ Warriors |
53 | 69 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Pacers | 15 Pacers Recent Games Lost Fri, Mar 13 vs Knicks 92-101 Lost Sun, Mar 15 @ Bucks 123-134 Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ Knicks 110-136 Lost Wed, Mar 18 vs Trail Blazers 119-127 Sat, Mar 21 @ Spurs Mon, Mar 23 @ Magic Wed, Mar 25 vs Lakers Fri, Mar 27 vs Clippers |
55 | 70 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Total | Home (1%) |
Away (61%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Pistons | 50 | 19 | 20% | <1% | 20% |
| (2)Celtics | 46 | 23 | 18% | <1% | 18% |
| (3)Knicks | 45 | 25 | 15% | <1% | 15% |
| (4)Cavaliers | 43 | 27 | 8% | <1% | 8% |
| (5)Raptors | 39 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (7)Magic | 38 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (6)Hawks | 38 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (9)Sixers | 38 | 32 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (10)Hornets | 36 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (11)Bucks | 28 | 41 | <1% | <1% | X |
| (12)Bulls | 28 | 42 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | 38% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic (38‑31) |
121‑125 | Away | Wed Oct 22 |
| 1 | Grizzlies (24‑44) |
146‑114 | Away | Fri Oct 24 |
| 1 | Knicks (45‑25) |
115‑107 | Home | Sun Oct 26 |
| 2 | Hornets (36‑34) |
144‑117 | Home | Tue Oct 28 |
| 2 | Spurs (52‑18) |
101‑107 | Away | Thu Oct 30 |
| 2 | Lakers (45‑25) |
120‑130 | Away | Sun Nov 2 |
| 3 | Clippers (34‑36) |
120‑119 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 3 | Nuggets (42‑28) |
112‑122 | Away | Wed Nov 5 |
| 3 | Hornets (36‑34) |
126‑108 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers (34‑36) |
136‑131 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (43‑27) |
140‑138 (OT) | Home | Mon Nov 10 |
| 4 | Cavaliers (43‑27) |
116‑130 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 4 | Knicks (45‑25) |
132‑140 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 5 | Knicks (45‑25) |
115‑113 | Home | Mon Nov 17 |
| 5 | Warriors (33‑36) |
110‑96 | Home | Wed Nov 19 |
| 5 | Bulls (28‑42) |
143‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 21 |
| 5 | Sixers (38‑32) |
127‑117 | Away | Sun Nov 23 |
| 6 | Mavericks (23‑47) |
106‑102 | Home | Mon Nov 24 |
| 6 | Bucks (28‑41) |
106‑103 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Pistons (50‑19) |
135‑138 | Home | Sat Nov 29 |
| 7 | Clippers (34‑36) |
140‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 1 |
| 7 | Mavericks (23‑47) |
108‑118 | Away | Wed Dec 3 |
| 7 | Magic (38‑31) |
105‑106 | Away | Fri Dec 5 |
| 7 | Kings (18‑53) |
111‑127 | Home | Sat Dec 6 |
| 8 | Magic (38‑31) |
108‑117 | Away | Tue Dec 9 |
| 9 | Raptors (39‑29) |
96‑106 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Nets (17‑52) |
106‑95 | Away | Thu Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 9 | Celtics (46‑23) |
116‑129 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Knicks (45‑25) |
125‑132 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Raptors (39‑29) |
91‑112 | Home | Tue Dec 23, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Hawks (38‑31) |
126‑111 | Away | Fri Dec 26, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Pacers (15‑55) |
142‑116 | Home | Sat Dec 27, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Nuggets (42‑28) |
147‑123 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Pistons (50‑19) |
118‑112 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (43‑27) |
115‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Pelicans (25‑46) |
125‑106 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (43‑27) |
94‑122 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Pacers (15‑55) |
99‑123 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Thunder (55‑15) |
112‑124 | Away | Sun Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Suns (39‑31) |
127‑121 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Celtics (46‑23) |
114‑119 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 7:30 pm |
| 13 | Thunder (55‑15) |
122‑120 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Warriors (33‑36) |
112‑135 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Kings (18‑53) |
130‑117 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (34‑36) |
110‑127 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Jazz (21‑49) |
147‑116 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 9:30 pm |
| 14 | Suns (39‑31) |
111‑102 | Away | Sun Jan 25, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Magic (38‑31) |
124‑133 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:30 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (28‑42) |
116‑113 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (28‑42) |
118‑125 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Bulls (28‑42) |
134‑91 | Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | Hawks (38‑31) |
115‑127 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Celtics (46‑23) |
96‑98 | Away | Fri Feb 6, 7:30 pm |
| 16 | Wizards (16‑53) |
132‑101 | Away | Sun Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 17 | Jazz (21‑49) |
111‑115 | Home | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm |
| 17 | Pelicans (25‑46) |
123‑111 | Away | Wed Feb 11, 8:00 pm |
| 18 | Hawks (38‑31) |
128‑97 | Away | Fri Feb 20, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Grizzlies (24‑44) |
136‑120 | Home | Sat Feb 21, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Bucks (28‑41) |
117‑128 | Away | Tue Feb 24, 8:00 pm |
| 19 | Sixers (38‑32) |
117‑124 | Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm |
| 19 | Rockets (41‑27) |
115‑105 | Home | Sat Feb 28, 3:30 pm |
| 20 | Nets (17‑52) |
124‑98 | Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:30 pm |
| 20 | Nets (17‑52) |
126‑110 | Home | Thu Mar 5, 7:30 pm |
| 20 | Hornets (36‑34) |
128‑120 | Away | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| 20 | Pistons (50‑19) |
121‑110 | Home | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm |
| 21 | Wizards (16‑53) |
150‑129 | Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Bucks (28‑41) |
112‑105 | Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Magic (38‑31) |
117‑121 | Home | Sat Mar 14, 8:00 pm |
| 22 | Hornets (36‑34) |
106‑136 | Away | Tue Mar 17, 7:00 pm |
| 22 | Lakers (45‑25) |
126‑134 | Home | Thu Mar 19, 8:00 pm |
| 22 | Rockets (41‑27) |
Away | Sat Mar 21, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Spurs (52‑18) |
Home | Mon Mar 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (43‑27) |
Away | Wed Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Cavaliers (43‑27) |
Away | Fri Mar 27, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Pacers (15‑55) |
Away | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 24 | Sixers (38‑32) |
Home | Mon Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (46‑23) |
Home | Wed Apr 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Wizards (16‑53) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (39‑29) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Raptors (39‑29) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (16‑53) |
Away | Fri Apr 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Hawks (38‑31) |
Home | Sun Apr 12, 6:00 pm |