Where are the Heat going in the playoff? The Heat playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Heat will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 80 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 |
| Sixers | 8i Sixers Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Knicks 98-93 Won Sat, Oct 31 @ Hornets 109-104 Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Bulls 126-107 Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Pistons 112-106 Fri, Nov 06 @ Cavs Sun, Nov 08 @ Bulls Tue, Nov 10 vs Celtics Thu, Nov 12 vs Raptors |
1 | 9 | 29% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Pistons | 6 Pistons Recent Games Won Wed, Oct 28 vs Hornets 97-89 Won Fri, Oct 30 @ Nets 110-94 Won Mon, Nov 02 @ Hornets 124-91 Lost Wed, Nov 04 vs Sixers 106-112 Sun, Nov 08 vs Lakers Mon, Nov 09 vs Wizards Thu, Nov 12 @ Wizards Sat, Nov 14 @ Heat |
2 | 8 | 19% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 10% |
| Celtics | 6 Celtics Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Bulls 125-111 Won Sun, Nov 01 @ Magic 108-97 Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Rockets 93-109 Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Bucks 109-102 Fri, Nov 06 @ Hornets Sun, Nov 08 @ Bucks Tue, Nov 10 @ Sixers Wed, Nov 11 @ Raptors |
2 | 8 | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
| Hawks | 5 Hawks Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 29 vs Cavs 114-111 Lost Sat, Oct 31 @ Pelicans 99-121 Won Mon, Nov 02 @ Pacers 108-104 Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Wizards 120-105 Fri, Nov 06 vs Wizards Sat, Nov 07 vs Nets Mon, Nov 09 vs Lakers Fri, Nov 13 @ Bulls |
4 | 9 | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 23% |
| Raptors | 4 Raptors Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 30 vs Magic 114-121 Lost Sun, Nov 01 @ Lakers 125-131 Won Mon, Nov 02 @ Clippers 125-118 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Nuggets 109-128 Fri, Nov 06 @ Bucks Mon, Nov 09 vs Grizzlies Wed, Nov 11 vs Celtics Thu, Nov 12 @ Sixers |
4 | 8 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Cavaliers | 4 Cavaliers Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 29 @ Hawks 111-114 Won Sat, Oct 31 @ Bucks 136-111 Lost Mon, Nov 02 vs Thunder 112-117 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Thunder 116-124 Fri, Nov 06 vs Sixers Sat, Nov 07 vs Knicks Mon, Nov 09 @ Hornets Wed, Nov 11 @ Knicks |
4 | 8 | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 27% |
| Wizards | 4 Wizards Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 28 @ Cavs 111-121 Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Hornets 95-79 Won Mon, Nov 02 @ Magic 103-94 Lost Wed, Nov 04 vs Hawks 105-120 Fri, Nov 06 @ Hawks Sat, Nov 07 @ Thunder Mon, Nov 09 @ Pistons Wed, Nov 11 @ Pacers |
4 | 8 | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 32% |
| Knicks | 4 Knicks Recent Games Won Wed, Oct 28 @ Bulls 133-127 Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Sixers 93-98 Won Mon, Nov 02 vs Nets 103-90 Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Bulls 135-105 Sat, Nov 07 @ Cavs Tue, Nov 10 vs Bucks Wed, Nov 11 vs Cavs Fri, Nov 13 @ Pacers |
4 | 8 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Hornets | 3 Hornets Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Wizards 79-95 Lost Sat, Oct 31 vs Sixers 104-109 Lost Mon, Nov 02 vs Pistons 91-124 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Nets 104-114 Fri, Nov 06 vs Celtics Mon, Nov 09 vs Cavs Thu, Nov 12 @ Suns Sun, Nov 15 @ Clippers |
6 | 9 | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 42% |
| Pacers | 3 Pacers Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Heat 125-145 Lost Sun, Nov 01 vs Nets 90-98 Lost Mon, Nov 02 vs Hawks 104-108 Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Grizzlies 107-103 Sat, Nov 07 vs Nuggets Mon, Nov 09 @ Mavericks Wed, Nov 11 vs Wizards Fri, Nov 13 vs Knicks |
6 | 9 | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 42% |
| Heat | 2 Heat Recent Games Lost Mon, Oct 26 vs Mavericks 109-113 Won Wed, Oct 28 @ Hawks 129-117 Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Pacers 145-125 Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Lakers 117-138 Wed, Nov 04 @ Clippers Thu, Nov 05 @ Warriors Sun, Nov 08 @ Kings Tue, Nov 10 @ Jazz |
5 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Magic | 2 Magic Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 28 @ Raptors 99-129 Won Fri, Oct 30 @ Raptors 121-114 Lost Sun, Nov 01 vs Celtics 97-108 Lost Mon, Nov 02 vs Wizards 94-103 Thu, Nov 05 @ Suns Sat, Nov 07 @ Warriors Tue, Nov 10 @ Kings Wed, Nov 11 @ Jazz |
5 | 7 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 43% |
| Nets | 2 Nets Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 30 vs Pistons 94-110 Won Sun, Nov 01 @ Pacers 98-90 Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Knicks 90-103 Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Hornets 114-104 Sat, Nov 07 @ Hawks Sun, Nov 08 @ Mavericks Wed, Nov 11 @ Pelicans Sat, Nov 14 @ Grizzlies |
6 | 8 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 49% |
| Bulls | 1 Bulls Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Knicks 127-133 Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Celtics 111-125 Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ Sixers 107-126 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Knicks 105-135 Sun, Nov 08 vs Sixers Wed, Nov 11 vs Spurs Fri, Nov 13 vs Hawks Sat, Nov 14 @ T. Wolves |
7 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Bucks | 1 Bucks Recent Games Lost Wed, Oct 28 vs Rockets 100-132 Lost Sat, Oct 31 vs Cavs 111-136 Lost Mon, Nov 02 @ T. Wolves 100-112 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ Celtics 102-109 Fri, Nov 06 vs Raptors Sun, Nov 08 vs Celtics Tue, Nov 10 @ Knicks Wed, Nov 11 vs Lakers |
7 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Record | Total | Home (17%) |
Away (27%) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |||
| (1)Sixers | 8 | 1 | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| (2)Pistons | 6 | 2 | 5% | 1% | 4% |
| (3)Celtics | 6 | 2 | 5% | 1% | 3% |
| (4)Hawks | 5 | 4 | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| (6)Cavaliers | 4 | 4 | 4% | 1% | 2% |
| (8)Knicks | 4 | 4 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (5)Raptors | 4 | 4 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (7)Wizards | 4 | 4 | 3% | 1% | 2% |
| (9)Hornets | 3 | 6 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (10)Pacers | 3 | 6 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (12)Magic | 2 | 5 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (13)Nets | 2 | 6 | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| (14)Bulls | 1 | 7 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (15)Bucks | 1 | 7 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 57% | ||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (6‑3) |
106‑131 | Home | Wed Oct 21, 7:30 pm |
| 1 | Pistons (6‑2) |
111‑128 | Home | Fri Oct 23, 8:00 pm |
| 1 | Hornets (3‑6) |
110‑115 | Away | Sat Oct 24, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Mavericks (4‑4) |
109‑113 | Home | Mon Oct 26, 7:30 pm |
| 2 | Hawks (5‑4) |
129‑117 | Away | Wed Oct 28, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Pacers (3‑6) |
145‑125 | Home | Fri Oct 30, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Lakers (7‑2) |
117‑138 | Away | Mon Nov 2, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Clippers (1‑6) |
Away | Wed Nov 4, 10:30 pm | |
| 3 | Warriors (5‑3) |
Away | Thu Nov 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 3 | Kings (1‑7) |
Away | Sun Nov 8, 9:00 pm | |
| 4 | Jazz (1‑7) |
Away | Tue Nov 10, 9:00 pm | |
| 4 | Cavaliers (4‑4) |
Home | Fri Nov 13, 8:00 pm | |
| 4 | Pistons (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 5 | Rockets (7‑2) |
Home | Mon Nov 16, 7:30 pm | |
| 5 | Bucks (1‑7) |
Home | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 5 | Thunder (6‑2) |
Home | Sun Nov 22, 6:00 pm | |
| 6 | Sixers (8‑1) |
Away | Wed Nov 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 6 | Knicks (4‑4) |
Away | Fri Nov 27, 7:00 pm | |
| 6 | Cavaliers (4‑4) |
Away | Sun Nov 29, 6:00 pm | |
| 7 | Hawks (5‑4) |
Home | Tue Dec 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 7 | Wizards (4‑4) |
Home | Thu Dec 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 8 | Knicks (4‑4) |
Home | Sat Dec 12, 8:30 pm | |
| 9 | Bulls (1‑7) |
Away | Mon Dec 14, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Grizzlies (6‑2) |
Away | Wed Dec 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 9 | Clippers (1‑6) |
Home | Fri Dec 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | Kings (1‑7) |
Home | Sun Dec 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑7) |
Home | Mon Dec 21, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Bulls (1‑7) |
Home | Wed Dec 23, 7:30 pm | |
| 10 | Celtics (6‑2) |
Away | Fri Dec 25, 2:30 pm | |
| 10 | Hornets (3‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 27, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Mavericks (4‑4) |
Away | Tue Dec 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Thunder (6‑2) |
Away | Thu Dec 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 11 | Pelicans (4‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Grizzlies (6‑2) |
Home | Tue Jan 5, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Nets (2‑6) |
Away | Thu Jan 7, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | Sixers (8‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Pelicans (4‑4) |
Home | Sun Jan 10, 6:00 pm | |
| 13 | Nets (2‑6) |
Home | Tue Jan 12, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Knicks (4‑4) |
Away | Thu Jan 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Raptors (4‑4) |
Away | Fri Jan 15, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Warriors (5‑3) |
Home | Sun Jan 17, 6:00 pm | |
| 14 | Trail Blazers (6‑1) |
Home | Tue Jan 19, 7:30 pm | |
| 14 | Spurs (6‑2) |
Away | Wed Jan 20, 9:30 pm | |
| 14 | Hawks (5‑4) |
Home | Sat Jan 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Nets (2‑6) |
Away | Mon Jan 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Bucks (1‑7) |
Away | Thu Jan 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 15 | Sixers (8‑1) |
Home | Sat Jan 30, 12:30 pm | |
| 16 | Pacers (3‑6) |
Away | Mon Feb 1, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Hornets (3‑6) |
Home | Tue Feb 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | Bucks (1‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 4, 7:30 pm | |
| 16 | TimberwolvesT. Wolves (6‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Hawks (5‑4) |
Away | Mon Feb 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Wizards (4‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Magic (2‑5) |
Away | Fri Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nets (2‑6) |
Home | Sun Feb 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Spurs (6‑2) |
Home | Mon Feb 15, 5:00 pm | |
| 18 | Wizards (4‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Pistons (6‑2) |
Away | Thu Feb 25, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Rockets (7‑2) |
Away | Sun Feb 28, 9:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (4‑4) |
Home | Tue Mar 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Raptors (4‑4) |
Home | Wed Mar 3, 7:30 pm | |
| 20 | Pacers (3‑6) |
Home | Sat Mar 6, 3:00 pm | |
| 21 | Suns (1‑5) |
Home | Mon Mar 8, 7:30 pm | |
| 21 | Magic (2‑5) |
Home | Wed Mar 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Bucks (1‑7) |
Away | Fri Mar 12, 8:00 pm | |
| 21 | Nuggets (4‑3) |
Away | Sun Mar 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 22 | Trail Blazers (6‑1) |
Away | Wed Mar 17, 10:00 pm | |
| 22 | Suns (1‑5) |
Away | Fri Mar 19, 10:30 pm | |
| 22 | Nuggets (4‑3) |
Home | Sun Mar 21, 6:00 pm | |
| 23 | Lakers (7‑2) |
Home | Tue Mar 23, 8:00 pm | |
| 23 | Jazz (1‑7) |
Home | Thu Mar 25, 7:30 pm | |
| 23 | Celtics (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Mar 27, 8:00 pm | |
| 24 | Cavaliers (4‑4) |
Away | Mon Mar 29, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Hornets (3‑6) |
Away | Tue Mar 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 24 | Celtics (6‑2) |
Away | Fri Apr 2, 7:30 pm | |
| 24 | Pistons (6‑2) |
Away | Sun Apr 4, 3:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (2‑5) |
Away | Mon Apr 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Sixers (8‑1) |
Home | Thu Apr 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wizards (4‑4) |
Home | Fri Apr 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Magic (2‑5) |
Home | Sun Apr 11, 6:00 pm |