The Most Important Games for the Thunder are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunder final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Thunder fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | Thunder Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage | 2* First Round Home Field Advantage | 3* First Round Home Field Advantage | 4* First Round Home Field Advantage | 5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant | 8** Play-in Tournament Participant | 9** Play-in Tournament Participant | 10** Play-in Tournament Participant | 11 | |||
| Pelicans (0‑4) vs Clippers (2‑2) | 8 | Pelicans Wins | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Clippers Wins | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Trail Blazers (3‑2) vs Nuggets (3‑1) | 8 | Trail Blazers Wins | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Nuggets Wins | 20% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||
| Hornets (2‑3) vs TimberwolvesT. Wolves (2‑3) | 7 | Hornets Wins | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| TimberwolvesT. Wolves Wins | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Lakers (3‑2) vs Grizzlies (3‑2) | 7 | Lakers Wins | 21% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Grizzlies Wins | 19% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Pistons (3‑2) vs Mavericks (2‑3) | 6 | Pistons Wins | 20% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Mavericks Wins | 19% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 14% | ||
| Bucks (4‑1) vs Kings (1‑4) | 3 | Bucks Wins | 19% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Kings Wins | 19% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Jazz (2‑2) vs Suns (1‑4) | 3 | Jazz Wins | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | 
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 15% | ||
| Suns Wins | 20% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | ||