PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Auburn Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Auburn will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 41% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Auburn makes the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Auburn making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (128)Auburn opponents win (SOS related)
  • (128)Auburn plays in the SEC Championship Game
Auburn Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 103 13 0 - - 100%
2 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 91 10 3 - - 100%
3 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 90 12 1 - - 100%
4 Auburn (128) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 89 10 2 - - X
6 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - X
7 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 89 10 2 - - X
8 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 10 2 - - X
9 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 88 12 1 - - X
10 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 86 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Auburn misses the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Auburn missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (128)Auburn opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (128)Auburn does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
Auburn Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 109 13 0 - - 100%
2 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 108 13 0 - - 100%
3 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 101 11 2 - - 100%
4 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 99 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 97 12 1 - - X
6 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 91 13 0 - - X
7 Virginia (78) ACCACC 90 12 1 - - X
8 Auburn (128) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
9 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 87 11 1 - - X
10 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 85 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot