PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Auburn Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Auburn makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 87% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Auburn makes the playoffs 87% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Auburn making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (128)Auburn opponents win (SOS related)
Auburn Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 Auburn (128) SECSEC 104 13 0 - - 100%
3 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Pittsburgh (79) ACCACC 91 13 0 - - X
6 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 91 11 1 - - X
7 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 89 13 0 - - X
8 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 10 3 - - X
9 Stanford (103) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 86 10 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Auburn misses the playoffs 13% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Auburn missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (128)Auburn opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (128)Auburn does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
Auburn Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 Syracuse (90) ACCACC 101 11 2 - - 100%
3 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 92 11 1 - - 100%
4 Louisville (80) ACCACC 91 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 91 11 1 - - X
6 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 1 - - X
7 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 90 11 2 - - X
8 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 89 11 2 - - X
9 Auburn (128) SECSEC 88 13 0 - - X
10 Duke (64) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot