If it loses one of its remaining games, Ball State will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 58% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Ball State makes the playoffs 58% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ball State making the playoffs.
(3)Ball State opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Georgia St. (66) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Memphis (47) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 9 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Ball State misses the playoffs 42% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ball State missing the playoffs.
(3)Ball State opponents lose (SOS related)
(3)Ball State does not plays in the MAC Championship Game
(39)Oklahoma St. wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 114 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UCLA (101) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | LSU (123) | SECSEC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |