If it wins its remaining games, Ball State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 93% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Ball State makes the playoffs 93% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ball State making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 94 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Ball State misses the playoffs 7% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ball State missing the playoffs.
(3)Ball State opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida Intl. (34) | Conference USAConf. USA | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |