If it wins its remaining games, Boise State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Boise State makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Boise State making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | UNLV (56) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 82 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Boise State misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Boise State missing the playoffs.
(62)Boise State opponents lose (SOS related)
(115)Tennessee wins 13 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 114 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 112 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 92 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UCLA (101) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Colorado (58) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 88 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |