Based upon current play, California makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, California makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California making the playoffs.
(87)California wins 12 or more games
(87)California plays in the ACC Championship Game
(87)California opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | California (87) | ACCACC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Tulane (33) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Western Michigan (17) | MACMAC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 82 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, California misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |