PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Florida St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Florida St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Florida St. makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Florida St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (97)Florida St. opponents win (SOS related)
  • (97)Florida St. plays in the ACC Championship Game
Florida St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
2 Louisville (80) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 92 11 1 - - 100%
4 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 90 11 1 - - X
6 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 87 11 2 - - X
7 LSU (123) SECSEC 87 10 2 - - X
8 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 84 10 2 - - X
9 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 84 11 2 - - X
10 Florida (84) SECSEC 82 10 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Florida St. misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Florida St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (97)Florida St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (97)Florida St. does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (80)Louisville wins 12 or more games
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
Florida St. Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 102 12 1 - - 100%
3 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 101 12 1 - - 100%
4 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 94 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 11 1 - - X
6 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 91 13 0 - - X
7 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 10 2 - - X
8 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 89 13 0 - - X
9 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 88 10 2 - - X
10 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 88 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot