If it wins its remaining games, Illinois makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 89% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Illinois makes the playoffs 89% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Illinois (99) | Big 10Big 10 | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Georgia St. (66) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Illinois misses the playoffs 11% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Illinois missing the playoffs.
(99)Illinois opponents lose (SOS related)
(99)Illinois does not plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
(95)Washington wins the Big 10 Championship
(108)USC wins the Big 10 Championship
(12)Arizona wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 93 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | USC (108) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Illinois (99) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |