PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

LSU Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, LSU will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 41% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, LSU makes the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (123)LSU opponents win (SOS related)
  • (123)LSU plays in the SEC Championship Game
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 LSU (123) SECSEC 101 12 1 - - 100%
2 Clemson (93) ACCACC 100 13 0 - - 100%
3 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Houston (75) Big 12Big 12 95 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 94 13 0 - - X
6 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 94 10 2 - - X
7 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 92 12 2 - - X
8 Black Knights (86) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 10 2 - - X
9 UMass (67) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 11 1 - - X
10 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 89 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, LSU misses the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (123)LSU opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (123)LSU does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Stanford (103) ACCACC 97 13 0 - - 100%
4 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 92 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 TCU (22) Big 12Big 12 89 12 1 - - X
6 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
7 LSU (123) SECSEC 88 11 1 - - X
8 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 12 1 - - X
9 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 86 10 2 - - X
10 Minnesota (109) Big 10Big 10 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot