PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

LSU Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, LSU makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 88% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, LSU makes the playoffs 88% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (123)LSU opponents win (SOS related)
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ball State (3) MACMAC 101 12 1 - - 100%
2 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 96 13 0 - - 100%
4 LSU (123) SECSEC 93 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Virginia (78) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - X
6 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 9 3 - - X
7 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 90 10 3 - - X
8 Miami (81) ACCACC 89 11 1 - - X
9 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 86 9 3 - - X
10 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, LSU misses the playoffs 12% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to LSU missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (123)LSU opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (123)LSU does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (115)Tennessee wins the SEC Championship
  • (88)LA Monroe wins out
LSU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 105 13 0 - - 100%
2 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 103 13 0 - - 100%
3 Hawaii (20) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 LSU (123) SECSEC 92 13 0 - - X
6 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 91 12 1 - - X
7 Kent State (15) MACMAC 89 12 1 - - X
8 Stanford (103) ACCACC 88 11 1 - - X
9 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 11 1 - - X
10 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 86 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot