PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Louisville Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Louisville will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 49% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Louisville makes the playoffs 49% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Louisville making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (80)Louisville opponents win (SOS related)
  • (80)Louisville plays in the ACC Championship Game
Louisville Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Louisville (80) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 95 11 2 - - 100%
3 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 89 12 1 - - 100%
4 Appalachian St.App. St. (27) SunbeltSunbelt 87 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Akron (23) MACMAC 87 11 2 - - X
6 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 87 11 2 - - X
7 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 86 12 1 - - X
8 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 86 11 1 - - X
9 Toledo (26) MACMAC 82 10 3 - - X
10 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 82 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Louisville misses the playoffs 51% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Louisville missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (80)Louisville opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (80)Louisville does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins 11 or more games
  • (106)N.C. State wins the ACC Championship
  • (97)Florida St. wins 12 or more games
Louisville Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 94 13 0 - - 100%
3 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - 100%
4 Wisconsin (100) Big 10Big 10 93 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 13 0 - - X
6 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 93 12 1 - - X
7 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
8 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
9 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 87 11 2 - - X
10 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot