If it wins its remaining games, Nevada makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 96% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Nevada makes the playoffs 96% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Nevada making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 104 | 14 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Wake Forest (112) | ACCACC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 87 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Nevada misses the playoffs 4% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Nevada missing the playoffs.
(43)Nevada opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 95 | 14 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |