PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Nevada Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Nevada will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 70% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Nevada makes the playoffs 70% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Nevada making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (43)Nevada opponents win (SOS related)
Nevada Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 99 13 0 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 1 - - 100%
 
5 Texas (133) SECSEC 94 11 2 - - X
6 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 11 1 - - X
7 Akron (23) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
8 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 88 11 2 - - X
9 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 85 11 2 - - X
10 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 85 11 1 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Nevada misses the playoffs 30% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Nevada missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (43)Nevada opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (43)Nevada does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
  • (49)San Diego State wins the Mntn West Championship
  • (65)Utah St. wins the Mntn West Championship
  • (65)Utah St. wins out
Nevada Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 106 12 1 - - 100%
2 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 104 13 0 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 101 13 0 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - X
6 Miami (81) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - X
7 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 92 10 2 - - X
8 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 89 13 0 - - X
9 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 88 13 1 - - X
10 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 87 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot