Based upon current play, North Carolina makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, North Carolina makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina making the playoffs.
(92)North Carolina wins 12 or more games
(92)North Carolina plays in the ACC Championship Game
(92)North Carolina opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 92 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, North Carolina misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |