If it wins its remaining games, North Carolina makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, North Carolina makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Miami (81) | ACCACC | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Florida Atlantic (63) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Colorado (58) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 12 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Maryland (105) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, North Carolina misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to North Carolina missing the playoffs.
(92)North Carolina opponents lose (SOS related)
(92)North Carolina does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(93)Clemson wins the ACC Championship
(81)Miami wins the ACC Championship
(93)Clemson wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Georgia St. (66) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Miami (81) | ACCACC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 89 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |