Based upon current play, Notre Dame makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 2% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Notre Dame makes the playoffs 2% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame making the playoffs.
(130)Notre Dame wins 11 or more games
(130)Notre Dame opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | TCU (22) | Big 12Big 12 | 106 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 99 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | USC (108) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Notre Dame misses the playoffs 98% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |