If it loses one of its remaining games, Notre Dame will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 35% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Notre Dame makes the playoffs 35% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame making the playoffs.
(130)Notre Dame opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 94 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Notre Dame misses the playoffs 65% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Notre Dame missing the playoffs.
(130)Notre Dame opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 112 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 99 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 97 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Notre Dame (130) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Oklahoma (132) | SECSEC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 83 | 8 | 4 | - | - | X |
| 9 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 83 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 82 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |