PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Oregon St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Oregon St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 69% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Oregon St. makes the playoffs 69% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (85)Oregon St. opponents win (SOS related)
Oregon St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 96 12 1 - - 100%
2 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 1 - - 100%
3 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 95 12 0 - - 100%
4 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 91 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 11 1 - - X
6 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 2 - - X
7 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 89 12 1 - - X
8 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 83 10 2 - - X
9 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 81 10 3 - - X
10 Rice (19) American AthleticAm. Athletic 81 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Oregon St. misses the playoffs 31% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Oregon St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (85)Oregon St. opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (6)Arkansas St. wins out
  • (65)Utah St. wins out
Oregon St. Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Utah St. (65) Mountain WestMntn West 100 13 0 - - 100%
2 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 98 13 0 - - 100%
3 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 93 12 0 - - X
6 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 92 11 1 - - X
7 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - X
8 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 90 11 2 - - X
9 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 88 10 2 - - X
10 BYU (73) Big 12Big 12 86 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot