If it loses one of its remaining games, San Diego State will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, San Diego State makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to San Diego State making the playoffs.
(49)San Diego State opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | North Carolina (92) | ACCACC | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) | SECSEC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Oregon St. (85) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Stanford (103) | ACCACC | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, San Diego State misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to San Diego State missing the playoffs.
(49)San Diego State opponents lose (SOS related)
(49)San Diego State does not plays in the Mntn West Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Iowa (122) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |