PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

South Alabama Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Alabama will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Alabama makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Alabama making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (37)South Alabama opponents win (SOS related)
South Alabama Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Memphis (47) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 13 0 - - 100%
4 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 97 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 UL Lafayette (60) SunbeltSunbelt 93 11 1 - - X
6 Georgia (118) SECSEC 90 11 2 - - X
7 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 87 10 2 - - X
8 Missouri (119) SECSEC 85 11 2 - - X
9 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 84 10 3 - - X
10 Stanford (103) ACCACC 84 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, South Alabama misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Alabama missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (37)South Alabama opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (37)South Alabama does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (60)UL Lafayette wins the Sunbelt Championship
  • (10)Coastal Carolina wins the Sunbelt Championship
South Alabama Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 Clemson (93) ACCACC 93 12 1 - - 100%
3 Texas (133) SECSEC 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 93 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
6 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 89 11 2 - - X
7 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 89 11 2 - - X
8 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 89 11 2 - - X
9 Sam Houston (36) Conference USAConf. USA 87 12 1 - - X
10 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 87 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot